Kalshi · Football
cakeboss. is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 28 picks, 60.7% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 12 won, 48 lost, 20.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 43 | 43 | 6 | 14.0% |
| NFL | 16 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% |
| MLS | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
cakeboss. mainly predicts World Cup: 43 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.7% hit rate over 28 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 22.4%. In World Cup, 6 of 43 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-18 19:03 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | New England Patriots 26:19 New York Jets NFL | New York J wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Philadelphia Eagles 14:25 Carolina Panthers NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Atlanta Falcons 23:31 Chicago Bears NFL | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | Jacksonville wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Kenneth Walker: 200+ rushing yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Bo Nix: 15+ rushing yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Bo Nix: 225+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Patrick Mahomes: 150+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Jaxson Dart: 250+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Jaxson Dart: 225+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | NYG -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: New York G wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Los Angeles C 14:26 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Arizona vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game: Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Detroit 31:30 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NFL | New Orleans vs Detroit Pro Football game: New Orleans wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Houston Texans 31:36 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo vs Houston Pro Football game: Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | San Diego FC 1:0 FC Dallas MLS | San Diego FC vs Dallas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England wins 5-4 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Draw 5-5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England wins 3-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England wins 3-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Draw 2-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Spain wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway wins 3-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England wins 3-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway wins 3-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Belgium wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain wins 2-1 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Egypt win in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Egypt wins 3-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 3-2 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Draw 1-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Draw 3-3 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Elliot Anderson: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico wins 2-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Draw 2-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Draw 1-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico wins 3-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Norway win in Extra Time | Lost |