Kalshi · Football
cadekilbey is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 50 picks, 62.0% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 29 won, 31 lost, 48.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 30 | 30 | 16 | 53.3% |
| Nations League | 11 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% |
| MLB | 7 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| VCT EMEA | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| La Liga | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
cadekilbey mainly predicts World Cup: 30 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.0% hit rate over 50 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 32.7%. In World Cup, 16 of 30 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-07 22:50 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WLLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Atlanta Braves 1:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 1:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) Nations League | Sweden wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | England wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Kansas City 9:12 Cleveland MLB | Kansas City wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Turkiye 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) Nations League | Norway wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1:5 San Diego MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1:5 San Diego MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1:3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Cincinnati 6:4 Chicago Cubs MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | AC Monza 2:1 US Sassuolo Calcio Serie A | Sassuolo wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Isaac TeSlaa: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | New York City FC 1:1 Toronto FC MLS | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | fnatic 0:2 Eternal Fire VCT EMEA | Map 2: Fnatic | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | fnatic 0:2 Eternal Fire VCT EMEA | Map 1: Fnatic | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | MIBR 2:0 FURIA Esports VCT Americas | Map 2: FURIA Esports | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Disguised 0:2 Shopify Rebellion LCS | Map 2: Shopify Rebellion | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Bilibili Gaming 2:1 Anyone's Legend LPL | Anyone's Legend to win | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Pittsburgh Pirates 0:11 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Pittsburgh First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:3 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Philadelphia First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win in Extra Time | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Egypt wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Cape Verde win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Team Liquid 3:0 Karmine Corp MSI | Team Liquid to win | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | ENG +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 0.5 | Won |