Kalshi · Football
arbfather615 is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 69 picks, 63.8% win rate, $5K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 54 have settled: 35 won, 19 lost, 64.8% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 31 | 30 | 22 | 73.3% |
| NCAAF | 25 | 20 | 9 | 45.0% |
| NBA | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
arbfather615 mainly predicts NFL: 31 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.8% hit rate over 69 orders, P&L $5K, ROI 14.8%. In NFL, 22 of 30 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-30 02:57 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Green Bay Packers 27:19 Carolina Panthers NFL | GB -13.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-30 | James Madison Dukes 21:24 Troy NCAAF | Under 50.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-30 | North Texas Mean Green 48:41 Florida Atlantic Owls NCAAF | UNT +9.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-30 | North Texas Mean Green 48:41 Florida Atlantic Owls NCAAF | Florida Atlantic wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-30 | North Texas Mean Green 48:41 Florida Atlantic Owls NCAAF | Over 85.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-30 | James Madison Dukes 21:24 Troy NCAAF | Over 55.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-30 | North Texas Mean Green 48:41 Florida Atlantic Owls NCAAF | UNT +13.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-28 | San Antonio Spurs 130:103 Sacramento Kings NBA | 1H Over 132.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Philadelphia Eagles 21:38 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dameon Pierce: 2+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Cleveland Cavaliers 127:125 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | MIN +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Cleveland Cavaliers 127:125 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | MIN +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Philadelphia Eagles 21:38 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Tyler Goodson: 20+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Seattle Seahawks 20:3 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Kenneth Walker III: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Seattle Seahawks 20:3 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | SEA -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | Cam Skattebo: 70+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Detroit Lions 20:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | DET +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | Cam Skattebo: 30+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | Cam Skattebo: 40+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Detroit Lions 20:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | MarShawn Lloyd: 40+ rushing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Texas Longhorns 34:27 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Ole Miss wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Texas Longhorns 34:27 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | MISS -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Colorado State Rams 56:49 San Diego State Aztecs NCAAF | CSU -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Arkansas State Red Wolves 38:32 Georgia State Panthers NCAAF | Georgia St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Colorado State Rams 56:49 San Diego State Aztecs NCAAF | Over 93.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Texas Longhorns 34:27 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | TEX +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Arkansas State Red Wolves 38:32 Georgia State Panthers NCAAF | ARST -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Nevada Wolf Pack 28:13 San Jose St. NCAAF | Under 40.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Nevada Wolf Pack 28:13 San Jose St. NCAAF | NEV +13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Alabama Crimson Tide 31:20 Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF | Alabama wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Auburn Tigers 17:38 LSU Tigers NCAAF | LSU +13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Wyoming Cowboys 28:14 Air Force Falcons NCAAF | Under 44.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Milwaukee Bucks 125:132 Chicago Bulls NBA | 1H Over 115.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Philadelphia Eagles 21:38 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dameon Pierce: 3+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Memphis Tigers 41:34 East Carolina Pirates NCAAF | Over 60.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Appalachian St. 34:31 James Madison Dukes NCAAF | JMU +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | CHI +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Marshall Thundering Herd 20:13 South Alabama Jaguars NCAAF | MRSH +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Marshall Thundering Herd 20:13 South Alabama Jaguars NCAAF | USA +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Florida International Panthers 23:26 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders NCAAF | Florida International wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Marshall Thundering Herd 20:13 South Alabama Jaguars NCAAF | South Alabama wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Marshall Thundering Herd 20:13 South Alabama Jaguars NCAAF | MRSH +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Under 48.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Under 47.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | SF -14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Over 41.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Under 43.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Over 46.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | GB +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | GB +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | GB -7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Bo Melton: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Kansas City Chiefs 22:6 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | KC -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19:26 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Atlanta Falcons 23:31 Chicago Bears NFL | Under 56.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Atlanta Falcons 23:31 Chicago Bears NFL | Under 59.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Indianapolis Colts 20:26 Tennessee Titans NFL | TEN -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19:26 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | TB -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | New York Giants 27:34 New Orleans Saints NFL | NO -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | New York Giants 27:34 New Orleans Saints NFL | NO -7.5 | Lost |