Kalshi · Baseball
a.burn.creative is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 35 picks, 65.7% win rate, $470 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 38 won, 22 lost, 63.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 28 | 28 | 17 | 60.7% |
| NCAAF | 18 | 18 | 12 | 66.7% |
| WNBA | 9 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% |
| NFL | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Women's Champions League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| FIBA World Cup (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
a.burn.creative mainly predicts MLB: 28 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.7% hit rate over 35 orders, P&L $470, ROI 21.8%. In MLB, 17 of 28 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-06 02:48 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | Over 51.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Dallas Wings 108:100 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Dallas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Chicago Cubs 2:8 Miami MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Texas 3:6 New York Mets MLB | New York M wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Arsenal Women 1:0 Koege Women's Champions League | ARS +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Atlanta Dream 106:81 Chicago Sky WNBA | ATL +10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Chicago WS 3:1 Detroit MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Clemson Tigers 28:20 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | North Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Vanderbilt Commodores 35:31 NC St. NCAAF | Vanderbilt wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | Under 58.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Arkansas Razorbacks 17:45 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | UGA -24.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | New York Mets 0:3 Philadelphia MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Cincinnati Reds 6:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | LAD -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | New York Mets 5:7 Baltimore MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Minnesota Twins 3:8 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Ohio St. to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | St. Louis Cardinals 3:7 Chicago WS MLB | St. Louis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Minnesota 13:38 Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAAF | Mississippi St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Spain women's national association football team (Spain W) 66:76 USA W FIBA World Cup (W) | USA -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Kansas Jayhawks 21:38 Missouri Tigers NCAAF | Missouri to win | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Chicago WS 0:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Chicago WS 2:4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Army Black Knights 59:3 Bryant Bulldogs NCAAF | ARMY -33.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Oklahoma 51:0 UTEP Miners NCAAF | Over 48.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Oklahoma 51:0 UTEP Miners NCAAF | Under 52.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Kansas Jayhawks 51:6 LIU NCAAF | KU -38.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Missouri Tigers 54:14 Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions NCAAF | MIZZ -54.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Chicago Cubs 2:1 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Chicago Cubs 5:9 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Cincinnati Reds 7:3 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Colorado Rockies 4:2 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Chicago Cubs 4:9 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 13.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Cleveland Guardians 6:1 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Boston Red Sox 9:8 Seattle Mariners MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Boston Red Sox 9:8 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Cincinnati Reds 0:5 San Diego Padres MLB | SD -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Colorado Rockies 1:2 Baltimore Orioles MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Chicago Cubs 17:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | CHC +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Chicago Cubs 17:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Chicago Cubs 17:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Washington Nationals 6:3 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Cincinnati Reds 0:5 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Portland Fire 69:86 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | GS -16.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Dallas Wings 97:71 Connecticut Sun WNBA | DAL -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Atlanta Dream 89:81 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | New York Mets 3:6 Houston MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Detroit Tigers 1:6 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Howard Bison 31:24 Alabama A&M Bulldogs NCAAF | Alabama A&M wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Stanford Cardinal 37:27 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors NCAAF | Stanford to win | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | TCU Horned Frogs 10:15 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | North Carolina to win | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | TCU Horned Frogs 10:15 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | TCU to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Dayton Flyers 43:20 Fairmont State Falcons NCAAF | Dayton wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) 0:1 Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) Premier League | Coventry vs Hull City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Los Angeles Sparks 88:82 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Carolina Panthers 16:13 Houston Texans NFL | Houston vs Carolina Pro Football game: Carolina wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Villanova Wildcats 32:35 William & Mary Tribe NCAAF | Villanova wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Phoenix Mercury 73:80 Washington Mystics WNBA | WSH -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Phoenix Mercury 73:80 Washington Mystics WNBA | WSH -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | New York Liberty 60:79 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | GS -1.5 | Won |