Kalshi · Basketball · Baseball
Chumley is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 64 picks, 70.3% win rate, $4K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 58 have settled: 38 won, 20 lost, 65.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 14 | 14 | 9 | 64.3% |
| NFL | 13 | 12 | 8 | 66.7% |
| WNBA | 8 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
| NCAAF | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Liga MX | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
Chumley mainly predicts MLB: 14 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.3% hit rate over 64 orders, P&L $4K, ROI 22.8%. In MLB, 9 of 14 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-27 05:00 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WWLWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Abyssal 1:2 Rooster CS2 | Abyssal wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Denver Nuggets 114:134 Golden State Warriors NBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:7 Cleveland Guardians MLB | TB +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:7 Cleveland Guardians MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Washington Wizards 122:131 Brooklyn Nets NBA | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles Chargers 17:23 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona Cardinals 21:45 Detroit Lions NFL | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Washington Commanders 27:27 New York Giants NFL | Washington wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Miami Dolphins 24:31 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | Cincinnati wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Phoenix Suns 102:98 San Antonio Spurs NBA | Phoenix wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Alabama Crimson Tide 17:20 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | Georgia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Kentucky Wildcats 35:34 LSU Tigers NCAAF | LSU wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Cleveland Guardians 2:0 Chicago White Sox MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Marist Red Foxes 28:41 Columbia Lions NCAAF | Columbia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1:1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) La Liga | Espanyol wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Cleveland Guardians 3:4 Chicago White Sox MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | 3DMAX 0:2 NIP CS2 | NIP wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Athletics 5:7 Houston MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | New York Liberty 65:83 Atlanta Dream WNBA | ATL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | New York Yankees 9:2 Tampa Bay MLB | NYY +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Saint Sinners 1:2 Leo Team European Pro League (CS2) | Leo Team wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Soles de Mexicali 76:77 Panteras de Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP | Soles de Mexicali wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Phoenix Mercury 87:86 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | New York Liberty 84:95 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | LAR +27.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | NC Dinos 6:8 KIA Tigers Korea KBO | NC Dinos wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | America 2:2 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | San Diego Padres 3:2 Washington Nationals MLB | SD +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Club Atlético Nueva Chicago (Nueva Chicago) 1:0 Quilmes Argentine Nacional B | Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Athletics 3:4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Los Angeles Sparks 88:82 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Los Angeles Sparks 88:82 Washington Mystics WNBA | WSH -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Los Angeles Chargers 18:20 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Phoenix Mercury 73:80 Washington Mystics WNBA | WSH -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Buffalo Bills 28:27 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh vs Buffalo Pro Football game: Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Buffalo Bills 28:27 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh vs Buffalo Pro Football game: Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | San Diego Padres 2:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | San Diego Padres 2:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Los Angeles Sparks 71:78 Atlanta Dream WNBA | ATL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 2:3 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Fulham vs Chelsea Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | BetBoom Iron Wing Dota 2 | Iron Wing to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | BetBoom Iron Wing Dota 2 | BetBoom Team to win | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Samsung Lions 4:6 SSG Landers Korea KBO | SSG Landers vs Samsung Lions winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | NC Dinos 5:4 Doosan Bears Korea KBO | Doosan Bears vs NC Dinos winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 5:5 Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB | Fukuoka Hawks vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winner | Pending |
| 2026-08-18 | Minnesota Twins 4:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati Reds 6:5 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati Reds 1:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Tijuana de Caliente 2:1 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Cruz Azul Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 0:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Houston Astros 2:3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | America 3:0 San Luis Liga MX | America vs San Luis Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlanta Dream 91:95 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Atlanta women's Pro Basketball game: Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | DN SOOPers Challengers 1:2 T1 Academy LCK Challengers League | T1 Academy to win | Won |