Kalshi · Football
Big.Moe.Samir is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 25 picks, 72.0% win rate, $5K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 54 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 54 have settled: 21 won, 33 lost, 38.9% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 33 | 33 | 13 | 39.4% |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Champions League | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Brasileiro Serie A | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
Big.Moe.Samir mainly predicts World Cup: 33 of the last 54 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 72.0% hit rate over 25 orders, P&L $5K, ROI 36.4%. In World Cup, 13 of 33 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-25 20:47 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | FC Barcelona 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Barcelona wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Real Madrid 2:1 Inter Milan (Inter) Champions League | Inter wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Al-Ettifaq FC (Al-Ittifaq) 2:3 Al Nassr Club Saudi Pro League | Al-Ittifaq vs Al Nassr Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) 0:0 Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Mushuc Runa vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) 1:2 Macara Ecuador LigaPro | Barcelona vs Macara Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | FC Barcelona 1:0 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham) Club Friendlies | Barcelona vs Nottingham Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Ferencvárosi TC (Ferencvarosi) 1:2 Real Madrid Club Friendlies | Ferencvarosi vs Real Madrid Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | AS Monaco FC 1:0 Getafe CF Club Friendlies | Monaco vs Getafe Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Real Madrid 2:2 ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) Club Friendlies | Real Madrid vs Fiorentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Fortaleza Fútbol Club (Fortaleza CEIF) 0:0 Pereira Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Fortaleza vs Pereira Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Bucaramanga 1:1 Llaneros Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Bucaramanga vs Llaneros Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 1:0 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Club Friendlies | Leeds United vs Sunderland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | S.C. Corinthians Paulista (Corinthians) 0:0 Paranaense Brasileiro Serie A | Corinthians vs Paranaense Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Club Libertad (Libertad) 4:1 CD Recoleta APF Division de Honor | Libertad vs CD Recoleta Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | San Lorenzo 0:1 Club Guaraní (Club Guarani) APF Division de Honor | San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | S.C. Internacional (SC Internacional) 1:1 Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) Brasileiro Serie A | Internacional vs Flamengo Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 1:0 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Wrexham Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Girona FC 3:3 Castellon Club Friendlies | Girona vs Castellon Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Athletics 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | C.D. Cuenca (CD Cuenca) 2:1 Club Sport Emelec (Emelec) Ecuador LigaPro | Cuenca vs Emelec Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Argentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Sweden Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1:0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Ghana vs Panama Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Iraq vs Norway Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Morocco Winner | Lost |