Kalshi · Football
ArielJose is a Club Friendlies pro on Kalshi: 48 picks, 79.2% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 45 won, 15 lost, 75.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Friendlies | 32 | 32 | 24 | 75.0% |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 5 | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
| Liga de Expansion MX | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| Brasileiro Serie A | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Belgian Pro League | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| ASEAN Championship | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
ArielJose mainly predicts Club Friendlies: 32 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 79.2% hit rate over 48 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 14.3%. In Club Friendlies, 24 of 32 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-09 19:44 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Palmeiras 0:0 S.C. Internacional (SC Internacional) Brasileiro Serie A | Palmeiras vs Internacional Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Palmeiras 0:0 S.C. Internacional (SC Internacional) Brasileiro Serie A | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Royal Antwerp F.C. (Royal Antwerp FC) 2:1 Sportkring Beveren (SK Beveren) Belgian Pro League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | R.S.C. Anderlecht (Anderlecht) 2:1 RAAL La Louvière (La Louviere) Belgian Pro League | Anderlecht vs La Louviere Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Crema Inter Milan (Inter Milano) Club Friendlies | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Crema Inter Milan (Inter Milano) Club Friendlies | Crema vs Inter Milano Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Olympique de Marseille (Marseille) 3:1 Bilbao Club Friendlies | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:3 AS Monaco FC Club Friendlies | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:3 AS Monaco FC Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Monaco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Johor Darul Ta'zim F.C. (Johor Darul Ta'zim) 3:3 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Club Friendlies | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 3:1 Atletico Club Friendlies | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) 1:2 Macara Ecuador LigaPro | Barcelona vs Macara Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) 1:2 Macara Ecuador LigaPro | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Remo 2:2 Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) Brasileiro Serie A | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Aucas 3:0 Leones Ecuador LigaPro | Aucas vs Leones Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | RCD Mallorca (Mallorca) 1:1 SV Elversberg (Elversberg) Club Friendlies | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Astorga 2:2 Deportivo Fabril Club Friendlies | Astorga vs Deportivo Fabril Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | FC Barcelona 1:0 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham) Club Friendlies | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Ferencvárosi TC (Ferencvarosi) 1:2 Real Madrid Club Friendlies | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Ferencvárosi TC (Ferencvarosi) 1:2 Real Madrid Club Friendlies | Ferencvarosi vs Real Madrid Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 1:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Club Friendlies | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Vietnam men's national football team (Vietnam) 3:1 Cambodia men's national football team (Cambodia) ASEAN Championship | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara (Leones Negros) 1:3 Correcaminos UAT (Correcaminos) Liga de Expansion MX | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Tre Fiori 1:4 KF Drita Conference League | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | AS Monaco FC 1:0 Getafe CF Club Friendlies | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | FC Hradec Králové 0:1 Besiktas Europa League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | FC Inter Turku 2:1 FC Vaduz Conference League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Boca Juniors 1:0 Estudiantes de La Plata (Estudiantes La Plata) Argentina Primera Division | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | RCD Mallorca (Mallorca) 3:0 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Club Friendlies | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 1:3 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) Club Friendlies | Arsenal vs Real Betis Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 1:3 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) Club Friendlies | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | SSC Napoli (Napoli) 2:1 Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) Club Friendlies | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Virtus Entella (Entella) 2:1 Novara Club Friendlies | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 0:1 Juventus FC Club Friendlies | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 3:3 Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) Club Friendlies | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Varazdin 2:1 HNK Hajduk Split (Hajduk) Croatia HNL | Varazdin vs Hajduk Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 1:0 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) Club Friendlies | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Parma Calcio 1913 1:1 G.S. Iraklis Thessalonikis (men's association football) (Iraklis Thessaloniki) Club Friendlies | Parma Calcio vs Iraklis Thessaloniki Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Udinese Calcio 0:1 Trabzonspor Club Friendlies | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Burnley F.C. (Burnley FC) 0:1 Torino FC Club Friendlies | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Leyton Orient F.C. (Leyton Orient FC) 2:1 Royal Antwerp F.C. (Royal Antwerp FC) Club Friendlies | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | FC Utrecht 0:1 Sevilla FC Club Friendlies | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | FC Utrecht 0:1 Sevilla FC Club Friendlies | Utrecht vs Sevilla Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Club Alianza Lima 3:1 Sports Association Club Alianza Atlético de Sullana (Alianza Atletico) Peru Liga 1 | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Club Sport Emelec (Emelec) 0:2 Aucas Ecuador LigaPro | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Tapatio 1:0 Jaiba Brava Liga de Expansion MX | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Real Madrid 2:2 ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) Club Friendlies | Real Madrid vs Fiorentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Falkirk F.C. (Falkirk FC) 0:2 St. Mirren F.C. (St Mirren FC) Scottish Premiership | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Chengdu Rongcheng F.C. (Chengdu Rongcheng) 1:1 Wuhan Three Towns F.C. (Wuhan Three Towns FC) Chinese Super League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Laos men's national football team (Laos) 1:4 Philippines men's national association football team (Philippines) ASEAN Championship | Laos vs Philippines Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Gangwon FC 0:3 Bucheon FC 1995 Korea K League 1 | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Jeonbuk FC 0:0 FC Seoul Korea K League 1 | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Club Atlético La Paz (Club Atletico La Paz) 0:1 Alacranes Liga de Expansion MX | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Correcaminos UAT (Correcaminos) 3:1 Tepatitlán F.C. (Tepatitlan) Liga de Expansion MX | Correcaminos vs Tepatitlan Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Libertad Loja 3:0 Orense S.C. (Orense SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Portuguesa FC 1:0 Carabobo F.C. (Carabobo FC) Venezuela Liga FUTVE | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Los Chankas CYC 3:2 Comerciantes U. Peru Liga 1 | Los Chankas CYC vs Comerciantes U. Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Birmingham City F.C. (Birmingham) 2:2 FC Barcelona Club Friendlies | Birmingham vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | N.E.C. (Nijmegen) 1:2 Sevilla FC Club Friendlies | Nijmegen vs Sevilla Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Juventus FC 2:0 Nice Club Friendlies | Under 4.5 | Won |