Kalshi · Baseball
pfjames is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 18 picks, 66.7% win rate, $259 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 40 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 40 have settled: 19 won, 21 lost, 47.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 18 | 18 | 12 | 66.7% |
| FIFA World Cup | 15 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% |
| Liga MX | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| WNBA | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| NCAAF | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Premier League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
pfjames mainly predicts MLB: 18 of the last 40 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 18 orders, P&L $259, ROI 35.7%. In MLB, 12 of 18 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-08 20:36 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | New York Yankees 5:3 Colorado Rockies MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Athletics 6:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Miami Marlins 5:6 Chicago Cubs MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Eastern Michigan Eagles 21:27 San Jose St. NCAAF | San Jose St. wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 0:2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Tottenham vs Newcastle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | CF Pachuca 2:3 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Pachuca vs Puebla Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Houston Astros 2:3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 0:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Boston Red Sox 5:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Boston First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | New York Yankees 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Detroit Tigers 2:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Detroit First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Minnesota 5:3 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Minnesota First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Los Angeles Angels 1:8 Boston MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles A First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:5 San Diego MLB | San Diego vs Los Angeles D First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Seattle 4:0 Toronto MLB | Toronto vs Seattle First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Houston 2:0 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay vs Houston First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:3 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Arizona First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Kansas City 5:2 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Kansas City First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Chicago Cubs 6:4 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis vs Chicago C First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Ghana win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Houston 1:3 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay vs Houston First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco win the 2nd Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Tie be the result of the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Baltimore 2:8 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | USA win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Golden State Valkyries 75:81 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Under 154.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Tie win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | 9+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic vs Czechia Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 1:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | PSG vs Arsenal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-26 | Golden State Valkyries 97:70 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Under 161.5 | Lost |