Kalshi · Baseball
Sweeney is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 23 picks, 65.2% win rate, $395 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 58 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 58 have settled: 28 won, 30 lost, 48.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 23 | 23 | 15 | 65.2% |
| NFL | 13 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% |
| FIFA World Cup | 9 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| NCAAF | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| MLS | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Europa League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
Sweeney mainly predicts MLB: 23 of the last 58 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.2% hit rate over 23 orders, P&L $395, ROI 54.9%. In MLB, 15 of 23 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-19 02:09 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WLWLL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | CeeDee Lamb: 70+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | Trevor Lawrence: 225+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) 2:1 OFI Crete F.C. (OFI Crete) Europa League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Cleveland Guardians 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Team Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Seoul 2:1 Jeju SK FC Korea K League 1 | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | BYU Cougars 24:10 Iowa St. NCAAF | Team Under 13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Utah St. 17:16 Washington State Cougars NCAAF | Under 38.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Utah St. 17:16 Washington State Cougars NCAAF | Under 35.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Louisville Cardinals 44:20 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | LOU +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Atlanta Braves 1:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | 1H Under 14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | San Diego Padres 4:1 Chicago Cubs MLB | Team Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | San Diego Padres 4:1 Chicago Cubs MLB | Team Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Houston Astros 3:7 Chicago White Sox MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Los Angeles Angels 5:4 Minnesota MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Los Angeles Angels 2:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:4 Miami Marlins MLB | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Los Angeles Angels 2:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Under 47.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Air Force Falcons 32:38 North Dakota St. NCAAF | Team Under 23.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:5 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Chicago Cubs 5:7 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Execration 2:1 Ice Cream Men Dota 2 | Under 2.5 maps | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Tennessee Titans 19:16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | TEN -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Tennessee Titans 19:16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle vs Tennessee Pro Football game: SEA Seahawks wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Tennessee Titans 19:16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Under 44.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Seattle Mariners 2:19 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Arizona Cardinals 13:34 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Under 52.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Arizona Cardinals 13:34 Dallas Cowboys NFL | DAL -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Denver Nuggets (Denver) 13:33 Green Bay NFL | Under 44.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Pittsburgh Steelers 0:17 New York Jets NFL | Under 38.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Houston Texans 20:22 Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) NFL | Las Vegas vs Houston Pro Football game: LV Raiders wins | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 0:1 Houston MLS | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Colorado Rockies 4:6 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | LAD +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | New York G 10:13 Minnesota Vikings NFL | New York G to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | America 3:1 Portland Fire (Portland) Leagues Cup | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | San Diego Padres 7:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | San Francisco Giants 1:3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Chicago WS 5:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Orlando 1:0 Nashville SC MLS | Orlando vs Nashville Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Minnesota Twins 2:0 Athletics MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | FRA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:3 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1:0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England vs Croatia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Saitama Seibu Lions 1:0 Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB | Yomiuri Giants vs Saitama Seibu Lions winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | Under 186.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Los Angeles Angels 4:5 Houston MLB | Houston vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Athletics 14:15 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs A's Winner | Won |