Kalshi · Football · Basketball
upward.marmot7620 is a WNBA pro on Kalshi: 38 picks, 65.8% win rate, $11K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 30 won, 30 lost, 50.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 17 | 17 | 8 | 47.1% |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 10 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| NBA Summer League | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Uruguay Primera Division | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| Conference League | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
upward.marmot7620 mainly predicts WNBA: 17 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.8% hit rate over 38 orders, P&L $11K, ROI 20.3%. In WNBA, 8 of 17 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-30 02:15 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:1 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | Mexico wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Dallas Wings 81:82 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Dallas women's Pro Basketball game: Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 1:1 America Liga MX | Atlante vs America Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Portland Fire (Portland) 2:2 FC Dallas MLS | Portland vs Dallas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) 1:1 Red Bull Bragantino (Bragantino) Brasileiro Serie A | Fluminense vs Bragantino Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Charlotte 90:92 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Albion F.C. (Albion FC) 0:1 Las Piedras Uruguay Primera Division | Albion vs Las Piedras Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Tijuana de Caliente 3:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Seattle 1:5 Portland Fire (Portland) MLS | Seattle vs Portland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Oklahoma 87:97 Dallas Wings (Dallas) NBA Summer League | Oklahoma City to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | FK Sileks (Sileks Kratovo) 0:1 FC Dinamo Minsk (Dinamo Minsk) Conference League | Sileks Kratovo vs Dinamo Minsk: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | FC Dinamo Tbilisi (Dinamo Tbilisi) 1:1 Mondorf-Les-Bains Conference League | Dinamo Tbilisi vs Mondorf-Les-Bains: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | FK Shkëndija (Shkendija Tetovo) 1:0 Europa Conference League | Shkendija Tetovo vs Europa: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Derry City F.C. (Derry City FC) 1:2 CSKA Sofia Europa League | Derry City vs CSKA Sofia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) 76:82 Boston NBA Summer League | Boston to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Sporting Jax 2:1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) USL Championship | Sporting Jax vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Miami FC 2:0 Indy Eleven USL Championship | Miami vs Indy Eleven Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Orlando Pride 0:1 Boston Legacy FC NWSL | Orlando vs Boston Legacy FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Charlotte 91:110 Milwaukee NBA Summer League | Milwaukee to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Uni Catolica 1:0 Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) Ecuador LigaPro | Uni Catolica vs LDU Quito Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Uni Catolica 1:0 Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) Ecuador LigaPro | Uni Catolica vs LDU Quito Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Leones 1:1 C.D. Cuenca (CD Cuenca) Ecuador LigaPro | Leones vs Cuenca Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Leones 1:1 C.D. Cuenca (CD Cuenca) Ecuador LigaPro | Leones vs Cuenca Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Chicago Sky 95:90 Seattle Storm WNBA | Under 157.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Manta Fútbol Club (Manta FC) 0:1 Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Manta vs Delfin Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Manta Fútbol Club (Manta FC) 0:1 Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Manta vs Delfin Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Manta Fútbol Club (Manta FC) 0:1 Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Manta vs Delfin Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Toronto Tempo 62:79 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington vs Toronto winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Toronto Tempo 62:79 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Macara 2:1 Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Macara vs Mushuc Runa Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Macara 2:1 Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Macara vs Mushuc Runa Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Macara 2:1 Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Macara vs Mushuc Runa Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Minnesota winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Ceará Sporting Club (Ceara) 0:0 Athletic Club Sjdr Brasileiro Serie B | Ceara vs Athletic Club Sjdr Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Figueirense Futebol Clube (Figueirense) 0:0 Volta Redonda Futebol Clube (Volta Redonda) Brasileiro Serie C | Figueirense vs Volta Redonda Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Ceará Sporting Club (Ceara) 0:0 Athletic Club Sjdr Brasileiro Serie B | Ceara vs Athletic Club Sjdr Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Atlanta Dream 101:92 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Atlanta winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Associação Olímpica de Itabaiana (Itabaiana) 1:0 Brusque Futebol Clube (Brusque) Brasileiro Serie C | Itabaiana vs Brusque Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Cerro Largo FC 1:1 Defensor Uruguay Primera Division | Cerro Largo vs Defensor Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Cerro Largo FC 1:1 Defensor Uruguay Primera Division | Cerro Largo vs Defensor Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Cerro Largo FC 1:1 Defensor Uruguay Primera Division | Cerro Largo vs Defensor Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | America FC 1:1 Londrina E.C. (Londrina) Brasileiro Serie B | America FC vs Londrina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | America FC 1:1 Londrina E.C. (Londrina) Brasileiro Serie B | America FC vs Londrina Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Manawatu Jets 120:113 Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL | Nelson Giants vs Manawatu Jets Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Las Vegas winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Denver Summit FC 2:2 Houston Dash NWSL | Denver Summit FC vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Clube de Regatas Brasil (CR Brasil) 2:2 Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) Brasileiro Serie B | CR Brasil vs Goias Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Atlético Clube Goianiense (AC Goianiense) 1:0 Fortaleza E.C. (Fortaleza) Brasileiro Serie B | AC Goianiense vs Fortaleza Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Toronto Tempo 93:91 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Washington Mystics 84:79 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Washington winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Phoenix Mercury 89:92 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Connecticut Sun 80:86 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Connecticut winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Phoenix Mercury 66:77 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Minnesota Lynx 89:90 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Minnesota winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Tie be the result of the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Toronto Tempo 76:89 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Toronto winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Seattle Storm 72:77 Portland Fire WNBA | Portland vs Seattle winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Las Vegas Aces 98:90 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Las Vegas winner | Won |