Kalshi · Football
unfair.salmon1863 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 17 picks, 70.6% win rate, $219 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 40 won, 20 lost, 66.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 30 | 30 | 19 | 63.3% |
| MLB | 13 | 13 | 11 | 84.6% |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Serie C | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| La Liga | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
unfair.salmon1863 mainly predicts World Cup: 30 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.6% hit rate over 17 orders, P&L $219, ROI 16.6%. In World Cup, 19 of 30 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-13 20:19 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Atletico 2:0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Champions League | Manchester United wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Serbia women's national football team (Serbia W) 1:3 Finland women's national football team (Finland W) FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women | Serbia To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Serbia women's national football team (Serbia W) 1:3 Finland women's national football team (Finland W) FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women | Finland To Advance | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Defensa y Justicia 3:0 San Lorenzo de Almagro Argentina Primera Division | San Lorenzo de Almagro wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Cittadella 1:2 U.C. AlbinoLeffe (Albinoleffe) Serie C | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Cittadella 1:2 U.C. AlbinoLeffe (Albinoleffe) Serie C | Albinoleffe wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | A.S. Gubbio 1910 (Gubbio) 1:3 Perugia Serie C | Perugia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Yomiuri Giants 2:5 Yokohama DeNA BayStars Japan NPB | Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Bonaire 2:3 Grenada CONCACAF Nations League | Grenada wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Bonaire 2:3 Grenada CONCACAF Nations League | Bonaire wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Saint Kitts and Nevis 3:3 Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Saint Kitts and Nevis 3:3 Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) CONCACAF Nations League | Cuba wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Houston Astros 2:3 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Chicago Cubs 2:5 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | NC Dinos 2:4 Doosan Bears Korea KBO | Doosan Bears vs NC Dinos winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:4 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows 1:3 Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB | Yomiuri Giants vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Texas Rangers 6:5 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Texas Rangers 6:5 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Washington Nationals 3:5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | New York Mets 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | New York Mets 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | San Diego Padres 8:7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | St. Louis Cardinals 4:1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Detroit Tigers 2:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Pittsburgh Pirates 3:2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | San Francisco Giants 4:2 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 85:91 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0:2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Curacao vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Brazil Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Lost |