Kalshi · Football
tolete is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 35 picks, 65.7% win rate, $822 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 37 won, 23 lost, 61.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 51 | 51 | 31 | 60.8% |
| MLB | 9 | 9 | 6 | 66.7% |
tolete mainly predicts World Cup: 51 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.7% hit rate over 35 orders, P&L $822, ROI 19.7%. In World Cup, 31 of 51 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-12 01:03 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Texas 7:6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Cincinnati 0:1 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win in Regulation Time | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | St. Louis 3:4 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | BEL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Spain win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Los Angeles Angels 1:8 Boston MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England wins 2-1 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | New York Yankees 1:6 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:0 San Diego MLB | San Diego vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Chicago Cubs 0:3 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | France record the first goal of the game | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Washington 9:5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Cincinnati 5:8 Baltimore MLB | Baltimore vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 0:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 0:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Japan vs Sweden Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Japan vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Brazil Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | POR -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |