Kalshi · Football
thick.shot is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 50 picks, 64.0% win rate, $258 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 33 won, 27 lost, 55.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 35 | 35 | 24 | 68.6% |
| MLS | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| NBA Summer League | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| MLB | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| NWSL | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
thick.shot mainly predicts World Cup: 35 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.0% hit rate over 50 orders, P&L $258, ROI 13.2%. In World Cup, 24 of 35 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-29 10:26 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Cerezo Osaka (Cerezo) 1:0 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Club Friendlies | Cerezo vs Dortmund Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Chicago WS 5:9 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Miami Marlins 8:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | San Francisco Giants 7:6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | SF +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | San Francisco Giants 7:6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Houston Dash 1:0 Bay FC NWSL | Houston vs Bay FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Orlando Pride 1:0 Chicago Stars FC NWSL | Orlando vs Chicago Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Phoenix Rising FC 3:2 Monterey Bay FC USL Championship | Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Chicago Stars FC 0:2 Angel City FC NWSL | Chicago vs Angel City FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | LA Galaxy 0:3 Los Angeles FC MLS | Los Angeles G vs Los Angeles F Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Seattle 1:5 Portland Fire (Portland) MLS | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Seattle 1:5 Portland Fire (Portland) MLS | Seattle vs Portland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) 3:2 Kansas City MLS | Saint Louis vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) 3:2 Kansas City MLS | Tie be the result of the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Montreal 0:0 Toronto FC MLS | Montreal vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Montreal 0:0 Toronto FC MLS | Montreal vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 108:94 Washington NBA Summer League | LAC -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | GS +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Under 155.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 99:85 Los Angeles Clippers NBA Summer League | LAL -15.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Chicago 99:87 Washington NBA Summer League | CHI -15.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Milwaukee 88:95 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | MIL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | New 65:91 Brooklyn NBA Summer League | Over 167.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Indiana Fever (Indiana) 99:93 Cleveland NBA Summer League | Under 188.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Atlanta Dream 89:78 Seattle Storm WNBA | Over 174.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France record the first goal of the game | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Belgium win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Raul Jimenez: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico record the first goal of the game | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Egypt win in Penalty Shootout | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | either team advance in Penalty Shootout | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | 9+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Jude Bellingham: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico record the first goal of the game | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Anthony Elanga: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Michael Olise: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Julian Alvarez: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3:3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Algeria vs Austria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: England First Goalscorer | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Jude Bellingham: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Won |