Kalshi · Baseball
tchafeka is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 46 picks, 64.4% win rate, $491 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 54 | 54 | 34 | 63.0% |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| Brasileiro Serie A | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Champions League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Premier League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
tchafeka mainly predicts MLB: 54 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.4% hit rate over 46 orders, P&L $491, ROI 25.6%. In MLB, 34 of 54 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-29 00:14 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:4 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Tampa Bay Rays 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) 3:2 Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) Brasileiro Serie A | Atletico Mineiro wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Minnesota Vikings 16:10 Indianapolis Colts NFL | Indianapolis wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Milwaukee Brewers 5:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Milwaukee Brewers 5:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | New England wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Inter Milan (Inter) 1:0 FC Shakhtar Donetsk (Shakhtar) Champions League | Shakhtar wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 3:1 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | Tottenham wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Team Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Atlanta Braves 6:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | San Diego 10:7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | SD +5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:4 San Diego MLB | SD -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:4 San Diego MLB | SD -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Colorado 8:12 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | AZ -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1:5 San Diego MLB | SD -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1:5 San Diego MLB | SD -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1:5 San Diego MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:0 San Diego MLB | LAD -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:0 San Diego MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Baltimore 0:3 Milwaukee MLB | MIL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | San Diego 7:6 Miami MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Colorado 2:9 San Diego MLB | SD -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Colorado 2:9 San Diego MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Colorado Rockies 3:9 San Diego Padres MLB | F5 SD -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:4 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Colorado Rockies 9:3 San Diego Padres MLB | F5 SD -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | San Francisco Giants 4:6 San Diego Padres MLB | SD -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | San Francisco Giants 6:7 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | San Diego Padres 9:2 Washington Nationals MLB | SD -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | San Diego Padres 9:2 Washington Nationals MLB | SD -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | San Diego Padres 9:2 Washington Nationals MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | San Diego Padres 5:4 Washington Nationals MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | San Diego Padres 3:2 New York Yankees MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:8 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:8 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Cincinnati Reds 7:3 San Diego Padres MLB | Cincinnati wins | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Cincinnati Reds 7:3 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Cincinnati Reds 4:3 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Cincinnati Reds 0:5 San Diego Padres MLB | SD -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:6 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Tampa Bay Rays 9:4 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | San Diego Padres 3:0 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | San Diego Padres 2:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | San Diego Padres 7:5 Minnesota Twins MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Baltimore Orioles 1:6 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Baltimore Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Milwaukee Brewers 5:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Milwaukee Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | New York Mets 4:2 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | New York Mets 2:5 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Boston Red Sox 11:1 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | BOS -7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | New York Mets 2:1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Cleveland Guardians 0:5 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Cleveland Guardians 6:1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:1 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Atlanta Braves 0:2 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Cleveland Guardians 5:7 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | San Diego Padres 11:2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:6 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs Arizona Winner | Won |