Kalshi · Football
shirt.sword is a Club Friendlies pro on Kalshi: 23 picks, 82.6% win rate, $299 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 41 won, 19 lost, 68.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 11 | 11 | 100.0% |
| Liga MX | 8 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| Korea KBO | 7 | 7 | 6 | 85.7% |
| Conference League | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
shirt.sword mainly predicts Club Friendlies: 11 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 82.6% hit rate over 23 orders, P&L $299, ROI 33.5%. In Club Friendlies, 11 of 11 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-18 07:54 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Melbourne United 89:91 Illawarra Hawks Australia NBL | Illawarra Hawks wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Utah Jazz (Jazz) 119:109 San Antonio Spurs NBA | San Antonio wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Las Vegas Aces 77:87 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Los Angeles Lakers 114:110 Sacramento Kings NBA | Sacramento wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Las Vegas Aces 104:99 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Las Vegas women's Pro Basketball game: New York wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | LG Twins 5:3 Kiwoom Heroes Korea KBO | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Hanwha Eagles 3:2 Lotte Giants Korea KBO | Under 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | SSG Landers 3:5 Doosan Bears Korea KBO | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Samsung Lions 3:12 KIA Tigers Korea KBO | Kia Tigers vs Samsung Lions winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | NC Dinos 2:10 KT Wiz Korea KBO | KT Wiz vs NC Dinos winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | LG Twins 5:3 Kiwoom Heroes Korea KBO | Kiwoom Heroes vs LG Twins winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Phoenix Mercury 91:89 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Phoenix wins | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Pachuca vs Queretaro Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Pachuca vs Queretaro Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 1:0 Juarez Liga MX | Guadalajara vs Juarez Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 1:0 Juarez Liga MX | Guadalajara vs Juarez Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | G.D. Estoril Praia (Estoril) 0:0 S.C.U. Torreense (Torreense) Club Friendlies | Estoril vs Torreense Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Aguilas 0:1 Unión Deportiva Almería (UD Almería) Club Friendlies | Aguilas vs Almeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Valencia 1:2 Castellon Club Friendlies | Valencia vs Castellon Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Granada CF 1:0 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) Club Friendlies | Granada vs Real Betis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Leones 1:1 Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) Ecuador LigaPro | Leones vs Guayaquil City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Portland Fire (Portland) 2:2 FC Dallas MLS | Portland vs Dallas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | FK Vardar (FK Vardar Skopje) 2:3 Riga FC Conference League | FK Vardar Skopje vs Riga FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | İstanbul Başakşehir F.K. (Basaksehir) 1:1 FC Inter Turku Conference League | Basaksehir vs Inter Turku Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Olot 1:3 Girona FC Club Friendlies | Olot vs Girona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) 1:0 A.S. Gubbio 1910 (Gubbio) Club Friendlies | Fiorentina vs Gubbio Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Sestao River Club (Sestao) 0:2 Bilbao Club Friendlies | Sestao vs Bilbao Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | FC Echallens 0:0 Bavois Club Friendlies | FC Echallens vs Bavois Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | UD Las Palmas 0:1 Orlando Pirates F.C. (Orlando Pirates) Club Friendlies | Las Palmas vs Orlando Pirates Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Lillestroem 1:2 Viking FK Eliteserien | Lillestroem vs Viking Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | AC Omonia (Omonia Nicosia) 1:0 FC Kairat (Kairat) Champions League | Omonia Nicosia vs Kairat Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | PFC Levski Sofia (PFK Levski Sofia) 1:0 Uni Craiova Champions League | Levski Sofia vs Uni Craiova Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | FK Vardar (FK Vardar Skopje) 2:3 Riga FC Conference League | FK Vardar Skopje vs Riga FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Valencia 3:0 CD Eldense Club Friendlies | Valencia vs Eldense Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Bohemians D. 2:1 KF Ballkani (Ballkani) Conference League | Bohemians D. vs Ballkani Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Bohemians D. 2:1 KF Ballkani (Ballkani) Conference League | Bohemians D. vs Ballkani Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Huelva 0:1 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) Club Friendlies | Huelva vs Real Betis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | İstanbul Başakşehir F.K. (Basaksehir) 1:1 FC Inter Turku Conference League | Basaksehir vs Inter Turku Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Tijuana de Caliente 3:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Tijuana de Caliente 3:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Club Necaxa 2:1 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Liga MX | Necaxa vs Atlante Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) 3:2 Kansas City MLS | Saint Louis vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) 3:2 Kansas City MLS | Saint Louis vs Kansas City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Club Necaxa 2:1 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Liga MX | Necaxa vs Atlante Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Botafogo FC 2:1 Santos F.C. (Santos FC) Brasileiro Serie A | Botafogo vs Santos Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Ferroviário Atlético Clube (Ferroviario) 2:1 Grêmio Novorizontino (Gremio Novorizontino) Brasileiro Serie B | Ferroviario vs Gremio Novorizontino Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Ferroviário Atlético Clube (Ferroviario) 2:1 Grêmio Novorizontino (Gremio Novorizontino) Brasileiro Serie B | Ferroviario vs Gremio Novorizontino Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 85:91 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | SAC -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Samsung Lions 2:8 LG Twins Korea KBO | Under 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:6 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Boston 5:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Boston Winner | Lost |