Kalshi · Football
rich.crash is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 29 picks, 86.2% win rate, $264 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 59 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 47 won, 12 lost, 79.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 40 | 40 | 32 | 80.0% |
| NFL | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| NCAAF | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| NBA | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| MLB | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
rich.crash mainly predicts World Cup: 40 of the last 59 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 86.2% hit rate over 29 orders, P&L $264, ROI 21.4%. In World Cup, 32 of 40 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-27 23:38 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33:31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Detroit Lions 31:24 New York Jets NFL | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33:31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16:23 Minnesota Vikings NFL | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Miami Dolphins 10:24 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | UCF Knights 21:13 TCU Horned Frogs NCAAF | UCF wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Cornell Big Red 38:25 Yale NCAAF | Cornell wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 41:13 Oklahoma NCAAF | Georgia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Florida wins | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 93:94 USA FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | USA vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) 66:78 Chile FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | Chile vs Venezuela Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Athletics 2:7 Miami MLB | Miami vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) 5:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Senegal vs Iraq Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0:2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Curacao vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Brazil Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Uzbekistan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina record the first goal of the game | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | France record the first goal of the game | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Tunisia vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Haiti Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Connecticut Sun 81:88 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington vs Connecticut winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1:3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Uzbekistan vs Colombia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3:1 Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) FIFA World Cup | Austria vs Jordan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Iraq vs Norway Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111:115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111:115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |