Kalshi · American football
rain.trail is a NCAAF pro on Kalshi: 27 picks, 66.7% win rate, $885 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 38 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 38 have settled: 22 won, 16 lost, 57.9% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 28 | 28 | 18 | 64.3% |
| MLB | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| WNBA | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
rain.trail mainly predicts NCAAF: 28 of the last 38 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 27 orders, P&L $885, ROI 45.9%. In NCAAF, 18 of 28 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-04 20:38 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | San Francisco 49ers 24:14 DEN Broncos NFL | Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Idaho Vandals 35:34 Montana State Bobcats NCAAF | MTST +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | Tie in the 1st half | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Louisville to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Washington 24:10 Washington State Cougars NCAAF | WASH -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Prairie View A&M Panthers 52:14 Texas Southern Tigers NCAAF | PV -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 33:10 Abilene Christian Wildcats NCAAF | TTU +24.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Florida Gators 66:21 Florida Atlantic Owls NCAAF | FLA -7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Michigan Wolverines 13:12 Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF | MICH -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Texas Longhorns 59:7 Texas State Bobcats NCAAF | TEX -51.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Texas Longhorns 59:7 Texas State Bobcats NCAAF | TEX -20.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 49:21 Ohio Bobcats NCAAF | NEB +14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Texas Longhorns 59:7 Texas State Bobcats NCAAF | TEX -7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 49:21 Ohio Bobcats NCAAF | NEB -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | North Dakota Fighting Hawks 62:26 St. Thomas Tommies NCAAF | UND -31.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Indiana Hoosiers 52:16 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | IND -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Indiana Hoosiers 52:16 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | IND +17.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Indiana Hoosiers 52:16 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | IND -7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Stanford Cardinal 6:45 Miami (FL) NCAAF | MIA +41.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | USC Trojans 39:0 Fresno State Bulldogs NCAAF | USC +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Michigan State Spartans 30:20 Toledo Rockets NCAAF | MSU +5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Stanford Cardinal 6:45 Miami (FL) NCAAF | MIA +23.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Michigan State Spartans 30:20 Toledo Rockets NCAAF | MSU +17.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 13:14 Colorado Buffaloes NCAAF | Colorado wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Stanford Cardinal 37:27 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors NCAAF | Hawai'i to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Philadelphia Phillies 5:7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Seattle Mariners 0:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Golden State Valkyries 96:79 Toronto Tempo WNBA | GS -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Golden State Valkyries 96:79 Toronto Tempo WNBA | GS +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Golden State Valkyries 96:79 Toronto Tempo WNBA | GS -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Dallas Wings 83:63 Connecticut Sun WNBA | DAL +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Seattle Mariners 7:6 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Seattle Winner | Lost |