Kalshi · Football
moby.dick is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 83 picks, 68.7% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 29 won, 31 lost, 48.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 42 | 42 | 25 | 59.5% |
| MLB | 13 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% |
| NFL | 4 | 4 | 0 | — |
| NCAAF | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
moby.dick mainly predicts World Cup: 42 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.7% hit rate over 83 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 18.9%. In World Cup, 25 of 42 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-12 23:54 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 7:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Oklahoma 27:24 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1:5 San Diego MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Indianapolis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | LAR -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: New England wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:8 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Atlanta Braves 1:0 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:9 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:9 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Desire Doue: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Ousmane Dembele: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 8:7 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:5 San Diego MLB | San Diego vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:0 San Diego MLB | San Diego vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Ousmane Dembele: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:3 San Diego MLB | San Diego vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | James Rodriguez: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 12:7 San Diego MLB | San Diego vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Athletics 4:9 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |