Kalshi · Baseball
misan.thrope is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 94 picks, 74.5% win rate, $431 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 49 won, 11 lost, 81.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 32 | 32 | 25 | 78.1% |
| NCAAF | 9 | 9 | 8 | 88.9% |
| CS2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| WNBA | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| NFL | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| FISSURE Playground | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
misan.thrope mainly predicts MLB: 32 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 74.5% hit rate over 94 orders, P&L $431, ROI 16.1%. In MLB, 25 of 32 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-19 06:31 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 4:7 Orix Buffaloes Japan NPB | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Cincinnati Bengals 33:27 Tampa Bay NFL | Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati Pro Football game: Cincinnati wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas A&M Aggies 48:20 Arizona State Sun Devils NCAAF | Texas A&M wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17:10 Oklahoma NCAAF | Michigan to win | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Purdue Boilermakers 36:38 Wake Forest Demon Deacons NCAAF | Wake Forest wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | BetBoom 1:2 G2 FISSURE Playground | G2 wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | BetBoom 1:2 G2 FISSURE Playground | BetBoom Team wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Athletics 6:5 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Natus Vincere 3:2 GIANTX LEC | Natus Vincere wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Philadelphia Phillies 4:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Oregon Ducks 34:27 Boise State Broncos NCAAF | Oregon wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | New York Mets 5:9 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Auburn Tigers 17:16 Baylor Bears NCAAF | Auburn wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Bowling Green Falcons 13:20 Tarleton State Texans NCAAF | Tarleton St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | James Madison Dukes 20:13 Liberty Flames NCAAF | James Madison wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | JD Gaming 0:3 Ninjas in Pyjamas LPL | Ninjas in Pyjamas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | LOUD 2:0 G2 Esports VCT Americas | LOUD wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Team Vitality 2:1 FURIA CS2 | Vitality wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Seattle Mariners 4:7 Athletics MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Chicago Cubs 2:1 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Chicago C wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Cleveland Guardians 3:6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:8 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Minnesota Twins 6:11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Minnesota Twins 6:11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:5 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Tampa Bay 4:10 New York Mets MLB | New York M wins | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | WBT 1:2 Virtus.pro CS2 | Virtus.pro wins | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | BakS eSports 2:1 Misa Esports ESL Challenger League | BakS eSports wins | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Team Falcons 1:2 MOUZ CS2 | Team Falcons wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Aurora Gaming 1:2 G2 CS2 | G2 wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | St. Louis Cardinals 4:5 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:2 Colorado Rockies MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:4 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Portland State Vikings 24:31 UC Davis Aggies NCAAF | Portland St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Minnesota Twins 2:3 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) 84:82 Angola men's national basketball team (Angola) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | Senegal wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | New York Yankees 0:6 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Indianapolis Colts 16:25 Detroit Lions NFL | Detroit vs Indianapolis Pro Football game: Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | TCU Horned Frogs 10:15 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | North Carolina to win | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Seattle Storm 97:88 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Seattle women's Pro Basketball game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | St. Louis Cardinals 5:6 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Atlanta Braves 5:8 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | San Francisco Giants 1:3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Texas Rangers 5:10 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Boston Red Sox 3:4 Athletics MLB | A's vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Boston Red Sox 3:4 Athletics MLB | A's vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 2:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Portland Fire 100:93 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Portland women's Pro Basketball game: Portland wins | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | St. Louis Cardinals 6:8 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Chicago WS 6:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Philadelphia Phillies 5:7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Boston Red Sox 3:7 Athletics MLB | A's vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Minnesota Lynx 98:87 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Minnesota women's Pro Basketball game: Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Santos Del Potosi 84:89 El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP | El Calor de Cancun vs Santos Del Potosi men's Mexico LNBP game: El Calor de Cancun wins | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Golden State Valkyries 92:81 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Colorado Rockies 7:9 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Chicago Cubs 5:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner | Won |