Kalshi · Football
lilcream is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 19 picks, 63.2% win rate, $679 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 40 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 40 have settled: 18 won, 22 lost, 45.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 21 | 21 | 12 | 57.1% |
| NBA | 6 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| NFL | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Champions League | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| Liga MX | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Serie A | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
lilcream mainly predicts World Cup: 21 of the last 40 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.2% hit rate over 19 orders, P&L $679, ROI 29.5%. In World Cup, 12 of 21 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-27 19:52 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | AS Roma 4:2 Cagliari Calcio Serie A | ROM -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Sacramento Kings 112:123 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Game goes to overtime | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Inter Milan (Inter) 1:0 FC Shakhtar Donetsk (Shakhtar) Champions League | Shakhtar wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Lille OSC (Lille) 2:4 Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) Champions League | Both teams score in the 2nd Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Detroit Pistons 121:113 Boston Celtics NBA | Over 220.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Brock Purdy: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | George Pickens: 5+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Los Angeles Rams 16:18 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19:26 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19:26 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | DK Metcalf: 60+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | LSU Tigers 51:10 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | Under 50.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Breel Embolo: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Las Vegas Aces 76:87 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Las Vegas winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | JPN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Dan Ndoye: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-05 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Victor Wembanyama: 12+ rebounds | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 95:105 New NBA | Victor Wembanyama: 4+ blocks | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) 103:111 San Antonio NBA | Victor Wembanyama: 25+ points | Lost |
| 2026-05-25 | Pumas UNAM 1:2 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-25 | Pumas UNAM 1:2 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-25 | San Antonio 103:82 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | Over 199.5 | Lost |