Kalshi · Football
freshbaker is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 24 picks, 62.5% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 39 | 39 | 21 | 53.8% |
| FIFA World Cup | 21 | 21 | 14 | 66.7% |
freshbaker mainly predicts MLB: 39 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.5% hit rate over 24 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 12.5%. In MLB, 21 of 39 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-09 20:27 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Philadelphia Phillies 7:6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 2:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Philadelphia Phillies 5:7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Colorado Rockies 7:9 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Chicago Cubs 5:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Seattle Mariners 0:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Philadelphia Phillies 5:0 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:9 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Boston Red Sox 14:2 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | San Diego Padres 5:4 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:5 Athletics MLB | A's vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Texas Rangers 3:10 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Houston Astros 8:5 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Philadelphia Phillies 10:7 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:4 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | San Diego Padres 5:4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:5 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | New York Mets 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Detroit Tigers 0:5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Tampa Bay Rays 6:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Chicago WS 1:0 Athletics MLB | A's vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | New York Mets 0:4 Boston MLB | Boston vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Seattle 11:0 Toronto MLB | Toronto vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Seattle 1:0 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Atlanta 5:3 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Philadelphia 1:6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Toronto 9:3 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | New York Yankees 2:6 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Toronto 0:3 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Toronto 2:1 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Philadelphia 7:11 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Athletics 4:9 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | New York Mets 4:5 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | New York Mets 1:2 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Boston 6:1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Brazil Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Won |