Kalshi · Football
buttercroissantsss is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 31 picks, 61.3% win rate, $572 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 31 won, 29 lost, 51.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 36 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% |
| NFL | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| NCAAF | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| FIFA World Cup | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| WNBA | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Intl Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
buttercroissantsss mainly predicts MLB: 36 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.3% hit rate over 31 orders, P&L $572, ROI 17.9%. In MLB, 15 of 36 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-04 04:37 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Arizona 34:7 Cincinnati NCAAF | Cincinnati wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Idaho Vandals 35:34 Montana State Bobcats NCAAF | Idaho wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Idaho Vandals 35:34 Montana State Bobcats NCAAF | IDHO +5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | LAR +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | DEN +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | DEN +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | New Orleans Saints 27:35 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | LV +4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Miami Dolphins 10:24 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | KC -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Grenada 0:3 Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) CONCACAF Nations League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Seattle 6:5 Houston MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Arizona 42:17 Northern Illinois Huskies NCAAF | Northern Illinois wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | William & Mary Tribe 27:52 Fordham Rams NCAAF | Fordham wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Clemson Tigers 28:20 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | Clemson wins | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | LAR -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | SF -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | New York Yankees 10:3 Colorado Rockies MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 4:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Chicago Cubs 7:6 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 0:1 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Leagues Cup | Vancouver vs Atlante Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Colorado Rockies 7:9 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:9 San Diego Padres MLB | SD +4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Seattle Mariners 0:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | DET +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Chicago Cubs 5:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Chicago Cubs 5:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | LAD -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:8 Boston Red Sox MLB | LAD -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | San Diego Padres 5:4 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Angels 1:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | San Diego Padres 6:5 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:9 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:9 Boston Red Sox MLB | Over 13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:9 Boston Red Sox MLB | LAD -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:2 Seattle Mariners MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Chicago WS 2:1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:2 Seattle Mariners MLB | LAD -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Cincinnati Reds 5:6 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Athletics 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | San Francisco Giants 3:0 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Chicago WS 5:9 New York Yankees MLB | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Miami Marlins 8:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Pittsburgh Pirates 3:2 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Philadelphia Phillies 11:4 New York Yankees MLB | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Pittsburgh Pirates 8:7 Chicago Cubs MLB | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 0:1 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Liga MX | ATL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Baltimore Orioles 3:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Detroit Tigers 4:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:1 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Cleveland Guardians 1:3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Los Angeles Angels 1:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Los Angeles Angels 1:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Caitlin Clark: 15+ points | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Caitlin Clark: 10+ points | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Clube de Regatas Brasil (CR Brasil) 2:2 Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) Brasileiro Serie B | CR Brasil vs Goias Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | ESP +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:3 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |