Kalshi · Football
baddadjokes is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 35 picks, 82.9% win rate, $25K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 47 won, 13 lost, 78.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 13 | 13 | 10 | 76.9% |
| MLS | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| MLB | 7 | 7 | 6 | 85.7% |
| Liga MX | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| NWSL | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Japan NPB | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
baddadjokes mainly predicts World Cup: 13 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 82.9% hit rate over 35 orders, P&L $25K, ROI 26.1%. In World Cup, 10 of 13 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-21 01:14 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Inter Miami CF 2:2 San Diego FC MLS | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Inter Miami CF 2:2 San Diego FC MLS | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:1 San Francisco MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Jets 17:20 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Tennessee Titans 20:24 PHI Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Pachuca vs Queretaro Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Pachuca vs Queretaro Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Washington 1:0 Denver Summit FC NWSL | Washington vs Denver Summit FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Deportivo Riestra (CD Riestra) 3:0 Boca Juniors Argentina Primera Division | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | San Diego Wave FC 0:2 Seattle Reign FC NWSL | San Diego Wave FC vs Seattle Reign Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Orense S.C. (Orense SC) 2:3 Ind. del Valle Ecuador LigaPro | Orense vs Ind. del Valle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Comerciantes U. 2:2 Club Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 | Comerciantes U. vs Alianza Lima Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | San Diego Wave FC 0:2 Seattle Reign FC NWSL | San Diego Wave FC vs Seattle Reign Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | San Diego Wave FC 0:2 Seattle Reign FC NWSL | San Diego Wave FC vs Seattle Reign Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Baltimore Orioles 2:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Baltimore Orioles 2:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Gwangju FC 1:2 Jeju SK FC Korea K League 1 | Gwangju vs Jeju SK Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | KIA Tigers 3:8 Kiwoom Heroes Korea KBO | Kiwoom Heroes vs Kia Tigers winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Gwangju FC 1:2 Jeju SK FC Korea K League 1 | Gwangju vs Jeju SK Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Saitama Seibu Lions 0:3 Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB | Fukuoka Hawks vs Saitama Seibu Lions winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 6:2 Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Japan NPB | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Auckland 0:2 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Club Friendlies | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Orlando 1:0 Nashville SC MLS | Orlando vs Nashville Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Orlando 1:0 Nashville SC MLS | Orlando vs Nashville Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Club Atlético Lanús (Lanus) 1:0 San Lorenzo de Almagro Argentina Primera Division | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | San Diego FC 1:0 FC Dallas MLS | San Diego FC vs Dallas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | New York Mets 3:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Montreal 0:1 Inter Miami CF MLS | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 2:1 FC Cincinnati MLS | Columbus vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Montreal 0:1 Inter Miami CF MLS | Montreal vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 1:0 Juarez Liga MX | Guadalajara vs Juarez Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Newell's Old Boys 1:0 Talleres de Córdoba (Talleres Cordoba) Argentina Primera Division | Newell's Old Boys vs Talleres Cordoba Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 1:0 Juarez Liga MX | Guadalajara vs Juarez Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | CD Recoleta 1:1 San Lorenzo APF Division de Honor | CD Recoleta vs San Lorenzo Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Orix Buffaloes 5:3 Chiba Lotte Marines Japan NPB | Chiba Lotte Marines vs Orix Buffaloes winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Saitama Seibu Lions 8:6 Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB | Fukuoka Hawks vs Saitama Seibu Lions winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 1:1 America Liga MX | Atlante vs America Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Boca Juniors 1:0 O'Higgins F.C. (O'Higgins FC) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Boca Juniors vs O´Higgins Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Boca Juniors 1:0 O'Higgins F.C. (O'Higgins FC) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Boca Juniors vs O´Higgins Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Club Sport Emelec (Emelec) 1:1 Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) Ecuador LigaPro | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Cordoba 0:0 Sevilla FC Club Friendlies | COR +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Bravo Ljubljana 2:1 FK Shkëndija (Shkendija Tetovo) Conference League | Bravo Ljubljana vs Shkendija Tetovo Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Atlanta Braves 3:2 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | San Francisco 3:4 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | St. Louis 4:1 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Racing Louisville FC 0:2 Bay FC NWSL | Racing Louisville vs Bay FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Juventude RS 1:0 Vila Nova Futebol Clube (Vila Nova FC) Brasileiro Serie B | Juventude RS vs Vila Nova Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Won |