Kalshi · Football
aaronsoria03 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 51 picks, 68.6% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 30 won, 29 lost, 50.8% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 25 | 25 | 17 | 68.0% |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 9 | 9 | 6 | 66.7% |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| NWSL | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Argentina Primera Division | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
aaronsoria03 mainly predicts World Cup: 25 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.6% hit rate over 51 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 15.2%. In World Cup, 17 of 25 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-09 12:27 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Johor Darul Ta'zim F.C. (Johor Darul Ta'zim) 3:3 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Club Friendlies | Johor Darul Ta'zim vs Chelsea Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 3:1 Atletico Club Friendlies | Manchester City vs Atletico Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Washington 3:4 North Carolina Courage NWSL | Washington vs North Carolina Courage Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Washington 3:4 North Carolina Courage NWSL | Washington vs North Carolina Courage Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) 1:2 Macara Ecuador LigaPro | Barcelona vs Macara Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Boca Juniors 1:1 Club Atlético Vélez Sarsfield (Velez Sarsfield) Argentina Primera Division | Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Aucas 3:0 Leones Ecuador LigaPro | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Coquimbo 1:1 Club Deportes La Serena (Deportes La Serena) Chile Liga de Primera | Coquimbo vs Deportes La Serena Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Aucas 3:0 Leones Ecuador LigaPro | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 2:2 AFC Bournemouth Club Friendlies | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Derio Portugalete Club Friendlies | Derio vs Portugalete Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | FC Tokyo 1:5 FC Machida Zelvia Japan J1 League | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Alcala Getafe CF B (Getafe B) Club Friendlies | Alcala vs Getafe B Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Derio Portugalete Club Friendlies | Derio vs Portugalete Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Alcala Getafe CF B (Getafe B) Club Friendlies | Alcala vs Getafe B Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Santander 1:1 Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) Club Friendlies | Santander vs Alaves Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Los Angeles FC 1:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Leagues Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 0:1 Juventus FC Club Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | CD Recoleta 3:2 Club Nacional Asunción APF Division de Honor | CD Recoleta vs Nacional Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Junin 2:1 Rivadavia Argentina Primera Division | Junin vs Rivadavia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Guemes 1:3 Club Tristán Suárez (Tristan Suarez) Argentine Nacional B | Guemes vs Tristan Suarez Winner | Pending |
| 2026-08-03 | Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) 2:1 Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) Ecuador LigaPro | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 3:1 Club Necaxa Liga MX | Toluca vs Necaxa Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Golden State Valkyries 96:79 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Cienciano 2:0 Club Universitario de Deportes (Universitario) Peru Liga 1 | Cienciano vs Universitario Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Leones 1:1 Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Leones vs Barcelona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Leones 1:1 Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Leones vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Portland Fire 101:106 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Portland women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Rijeka 2:1 Rudes Zagreb Croatia HNL | Rijeka vs Rudes Zagreb Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Madryn 2:0 Club Atletico All Boys (All Boys) Argentine Nacional B | Madryn vs All Boys Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Caen 1:1 Dieppe Club Friendlies | Caen vs Dieppe Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Phoenix Mercury 83:96 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Orense S.C. (Orense SC) 0:2 Club Sport Emelec (Emelec) Ecuador LigaPro | Orense vs Emelec Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Aucas 0:3 Ind. del Valle Ecuador LigaPro | Aucas vs Ind. del Valle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) 1:1 Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) Ecuador LigaPro | Barcelona vs Guayaquil City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | 8+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | 10+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | 7+ corners | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | 9+ corners | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | 9+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | 8+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | ESP -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Lamine Yamal: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Arda Guler: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Won |