Kalshi · Football
Saffr0n is a Nations League pro on Kalshi: 42 picks, 69.0% win rate, $840 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 31 won, 29 lost, 51.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nations League | 25 | 25 | 15 | 60.0% |
| VCT Champions | 12 | 12 | 6 | 50.0% |
| Intl Friendlies | 11 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% |
| MLB | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| Liga MX | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| ESL Pro League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
Saffr0n mainly predicts Nations League: 25 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.0% hit rate over 42 orders, P&L $840, ROI 16.8%. In Nations League, 15 of 25 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-18 08:20 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Team Vitality 1:3 LOUD VCT Champions | Under 4.5 maps | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Team Vitality 1:3 LOUD VCT Champions | Map 2: LOUD | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Team Vitality 1:2 LOUD VCT Champions | LOUD wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | MOUZ 0:3 Team Vitality ESL Pro League | MOUZ wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Benin men's national football team (Benin) Intl Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Chicago Fire FC 3:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | USA 1:0 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) Intl Friendlies | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | San Diego Padres 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Atlanta Braves 1:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 2:0 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | Colombia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) Intl Friendlies | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 3:0 North Macedonia men's national football team (North Macedonia) Nations League | SUI -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | England men's national association football team (England) 3:0 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) Nations League | ENG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 1:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | ESP -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 0:7 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Nongshim RedForce 2:1 Karmine Corp VCT Champions | Karmine Corp wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Team Liquid 0:2 G2 Esports VCT Champions | G2 Esports wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Club Necaxa 2:4 America Liga MX | America wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Germany 0:1 Greece men's national football team (Greece) Nations League | GER -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) 1:2 Netherlands Nations League | NED -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 0:2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Guadalajara wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | FUT Esports 2:0 JD Gaming VCT Champions | JD Gaming wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | T1 0:2 100 Thieves VCT Champions | T1 wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | ESP -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | EDward Gaming 0:2 LOUD VCT Champions | Under 2.5 maps | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Philadelphia 0:2 Tampa Bay MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 3:1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) Nations League | Sweden wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Team Vitality 2:1 Global Esports VCT Champions | Global Esports wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 0:1 Northern Ireland men's national association football team (Northern Ireland) Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 0:1 Northern Ireland men's national association football team (Northern Ireland) Nations League | Georgia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Mali men's national basketball team (Mali) 3:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) AFCON | Cape Verde wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | NRG 2:0 Nongshim RedForce VCT Champions | Nongshim RedForce wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | USA 4:1 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1:0 Chile Intl Friendlies | Canada wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:1 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) Intl Friendlies | Colombia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) Intl Friendlies | BRA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 3:1 IR Iran Intl Friendlies | IR Iran wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 3:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) Intl Friendlies | Japan wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Palestine men's national football team (Palestine) 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) Intl Friendlies | New Zealand wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1:5 San Diego MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 4:2 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | Atlante wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | England wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) Nations League | ESP -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Germany 0:1 Greece men's national football team (Greece) Nations League | Germany wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3:1 Kosovo men's national association football team (Kosovo) Nations League | Austria wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) Nations League | Croatia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) 1:2 Netherlands Nations League | Netherlands wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 2:1 Romania men's national association football team (Romania) Nations League | Sweden wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 0:2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Belgium wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Turkiye 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3:1 Israel men's national football team (Israel) Nations League | Austria wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Netherlands 1:1 Germany Nations League | Netherlands wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) Nations League | Norway wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | G2 Esports 2:0 TYLOO VCT Champions | G2 Esports wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Paper Rex 2:1 Team Liquid VCT Champions | Paper Rex wins | Won |