Kalshi · Football
MoturdBIRD is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 17 picks, 64.7% win rate, $752 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 28 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 28 have settled: 17 won, 11 lost, 60.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 27 | 27 | 16 | 59.3% |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
MoturdBIRD mainly predicts World Cup: 27 of the last 28 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.7% hit rate over 17 orders, P&L $752, ROI 47.0%. In World Cup, 16 of 27 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-04 00:25 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Tie win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | ENG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Los Angeles Sparks 98:97 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Los Angeles winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | both teams score in the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | BRA +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | both teams score in the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1:3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Uzbekistan vs Colombia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3:1 Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) FIFA World Cup | Austria vs Jordan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Germany 7:1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | GER +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | AUS -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) 0:1 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) FIFA World Cup | Haiti vs Scotland Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic vs Czechia Winner | Won |