Kalshi · Football
Lucifer2817 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 26 picks, 69.2% win rate, $458 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 59 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 41 won, 18 lost, 69.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 27 | 27 | 18 | 66.7% |
| NWSL | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| NBA Summer League | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Korea K League 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
Lucifer2817 mainly predicts World Cup: 27 of the last 59 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.2% hit rate over 26 orders, P&L $458, ROI 16.6%. In World Cup, 18 of 27 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-03 21:36 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Club Guaraní (Club Guarani) 1:1 San Lorenzo APF Division de Honor | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) 1:1 Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) Brasileiro Serie B | Goias vs Sport Recife Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Orense S.C. (Orense SC) 0:2 Club Sport Emelec (Emelec) Ecuador LigaPro | Orense vs Emelec Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Montreal 0:0 Toronto FC MLS | Montreal vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | America FC 1:1 Londrina E.C. (Londrina) Brasileiro Serie B | America FC vs Londrina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | America FC 1:1 Londrina E.C. (Londrina) Brasileiro Serie B | America FC vs Londrina Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Club Sport Emelec (Emelec) 0:0 Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Emelec vs Barcelona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Denver Summit FC 2:2 Houston Dash NWSL | Denver Summit FC vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Dallas Wings 96:91 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Dallas winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Denver Summit FC 2:2 Houston Dash NWSL | Denver Summit FC vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Clube de Regatas Brasil (CR Brasil) 2:2 Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) Brasileiro Serie B | CR Brasil vs Goias Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Racing Club de Montevideo 1:1 Club Atlético Peñarol (Penarol) Uruguay Primera Division | Racing Club vs Penarol Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Sarpsborg 08 FF (Sarpsborg) 1:0 Viking FK Eliteserien | Sarpsborg vs Viking Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | FC Seoul 0:0 Gangwon FC Korea K League 1 | Seoul vs Gangwon Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Incheon Utd 0:1 FC Anyang Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd vs FC Anyang Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | San Diego Wave FC 0:2 Angel City FC NWSL | San Diego Wave FC vs Angel City FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | North Carolina Courage 0:2 Washington NWSL | North Carolina Courage vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Gwangju FC 0:3 FC Pohang Steelers (Pohang Steelers FC) Korea K League 1 | Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Zhejiang Prof. 3:2 Qingdao Hainiu F.C. (Qingdao Hainiu) Chinese Super League | Zhejiang Prof. vs Qingdao Hainiu Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) 81:79 Portland Fire (Portland) NBA Summer League | Portland to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) 81:79 Portland Fire (Portland) NBA Summer League | Phoenix to win | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Utah Royals FC 1:3 Gotham FC (Gotham) NWSL | Utah Royals vs Gotham Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Orlando Pride 3:0 Kansas City Current NWSL | Orlando vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Boston Legacy FC 2:0 Chicago Stars FC NWSL | Boston Legacy FC vs Chicago Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Racing Louisville FC 0:2 Bay FC NWSL | Racing Louisville vs Bay FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Toronto Tempo 95:108 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Indiana Fever (Indiana) 99:93 Cleveland NBA Summer League | Cleveland to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Shandong Taishan 4:3 Yunnan Yukun F.C. (Yunnan Yukun) Chinese Super League | Shandong Taishan vs Yunnan Yukun Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 85:91 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Washington 92:88 Utah NBA Summer League | Utah to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Orlando 74:86 Charlotte NBA Summer League | Charlotte to win | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA win the 2nd Half | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Hamilton Vancouver FC Canadian Premier League | Hamilton vs Vancouver FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England win the 2nd Half | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |