Kalshi · Football
BonelessArdvark94 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 46 picks, 71.7% win rate, $225 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 24 | 24 | 18 | 75.0% |
| MLB | 12 | 12 | 6 | 50.0% |
| LRS | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| MSI | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Esports World Cup (Valorant) | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
BonelessArdvark94 mainly predicts World Cup: 24 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 71.7% hit rate over 46 orders, P&L $225, ROI 35.6%. In World Cup, 18 of 24 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-20 18:16 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Cleveland Guardians 13:4 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Senshi Esports ZennIT League of Legends | Senshi Esports Club to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Docta Esports 2:1 ZEN Esports LRS | ZEN Esports to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Minnesota Twins 4:2 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | San Francisco Giants 3:1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | NRG 1:3 100 Thieves Esports World Cup (Valorant) | NRG to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Cincinnati Reds 4:8 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Nemiga Gaming 0:3 RE.Arise European Pro League (Dota 2) | Nemiga Gaming to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Yandex 2:0 1win Dota 2 | 1win to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Hanwha Life Esports 3:2 Bilibili Gaming MSI | Bilibili Gaming to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | BBL Esports 0:2 Nongshim RedForce Esports World Cup (Valorant) | BBL Esports to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Sparta Rotterdam (SPARTA) 1:2 Atreides CS2 | Atreides to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Denver Summit FC 2:2 Houston Dash NWSL | Denver Summit FC vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | San Diego Padres 8:7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Contra 3:2 Fuego VCL Latin America North | Fuego to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Detroit Tigers 2:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Zeu5 Esports 2:1 Kits Esports LRN | Kits Esports to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Cincinnati Reds 3:5 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | San Francisco Giants 4:2 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Minnesota Lynx 90:85 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Minnesota winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | FaZe 1:2 PARIVISION CS2 | FaZe to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 3:2 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | San Diego 3:5 Toronto MLB | Toronto vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | San Francisco 3:4 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:9 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Los Angeles Sparks 102:87 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Los Angeles winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Utah Royals FC 1:3 Gotham FC (Gotham) NWSL | Utah Royals vs Gotham Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Docta Esports 2:0 Malvinas Gaming LRS | Malvinas Gaming to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 85:91 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Sacramento Republic FC 2:1 Rhode Island FC USL Championship | Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Connecticut Sun 80:86 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Connecticut winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | ZEN Esports 1:2 Volticons LRS | ZEN Esports to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | T1 1:3 G2 Esports MSI | G2 Esports to win | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Olympique Lyonnais (LYON) 3:0 Team Secret Whales MSI | LYON to win | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | RED Canids 1:2 la Masia VCL Brazil | la Masia to win | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) 91:85 Golden State Blue NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3:3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Algeria vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 3:1 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Congo DR vs Uzbekistan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2:1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Belgium Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |