Polymarket · Football · Top pro
Arienwen.btw is a Nations League pro on Polymarket: 170 picks, 68.2% win rate, $4K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 42 won, 18 lost, 70.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nations League | 14 | 14 | 10 | 71.4% |
| Champions League | 11 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 9 | 9 | 8 | 88.9% |
| China League 1 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 77.8% |
| MLS | 7 | 7 | 6 | 85.7% |
| Saudi Pro League | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
Arienwen.btw mainly predicts Nations League: 14 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.2% hit rate over 170 orders, P&L $4K, ROI 19.4%. In Nations League, 10 of 14 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-10-25 01:09 UTC+0. Method: methodology
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| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Atlanta United FC 2:3 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire FC O/U 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 2:3 Al Hilal SFC (Al Hilal Saudi Club) Saudi Pro League | Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs Al Hilal Saudi Club O/U 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Real Madrid 4:1 RB Leipzig Champions League | Real Madrid CF vs RB Leipzig O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 2:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | FC Bayern München vs Arsenal FC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Lille OSC 2:4 Galatasaray SK Champions League | Galatasaray SK to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Fenerbahçe SK 2:2 SK Slavia Prague (SK Slavia Praha) Champions League | Fenerbahçe SK vs SK Slavia Praha O/U 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Fenerbahçe SK 2:2 SK Slavia Prague (SK Slavia Praha) Champions League | Fenerbahçe SK vs SK Slavia Praha O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | FC Cincinnati 0:2 Columbus Crew MLS | FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Clube de Regatas Brasil (CR Brasil) 0:1 Botafogo FC Brasileiro Serie B | CR Brasil vs Botafogo FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Minnesota United FC 3:2 St. Louis City SC MLS | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Mantova 1911 0:2 Palermo F.C. (Palermo FC) Serie B | Mantova 1911 vs Palermo FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | FF Jaro 1:1 IFK Mariehamn Veikkausliiga | FF Jaro vs IFK Mariehamn O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb 1:0 R.S.C. Anderlecht (RSC Anderlecht) Europa League | GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs RSC Anderlecht O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2:3 Beşiktaş J.K. (Beşiktaş JK) Europa League | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 6:0 Fenerbahçe SK Champions League | Aston Villa FC vs Fenerbahçe SK O/U 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | R.C. Lens (Racing Club de Lens) 0:2 Sporting CP Champions League | Racing Club de Lens vs Sporting CP O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Guangxi Hengchen FC 1:1 Shenzhen Juniors FC China League 1 | Guangxi Hengchen FC vs Shenzhen Juniors FC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Guangxi Hengchen FC 1:1 Shenzhen Juniors FC China League 1 | Guangxi Hengchen FC vs Shenzhen Juniors FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Yanbian Longding 0:1 Nantong Zhiyun China League 1 | Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Chicago Fire FC 2:1 New York City FC MLS | Chicago Fire FC vs New York City FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Al Nassr Saudi Club 3:0 Al Diraiyah Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr Saudi Club vs Al Diraiyah Saudi Club O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Al Kholood Saudi Club 0:5 Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | Al Kholood Saudi Club vs Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club O/U 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Shenzhen Juniors FC 1:4 Guandong GZ-Power FC China League 1 | Shenzhen Juniors FC vs Guandong GZ-Power FC O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Foshan Nanshi FC 1:0 Guangxi Hengchen FC China League 1 | Foshan Nanshi FC vs Guangxi Hengchen FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Nanjing City 1:4 Shaanxi Union F.C. (Shaanxi Union FC) China League 1 | Nanjing City vs Shaanxi Union FC O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Estonia men's national football team (Estonia) 0:0 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) Nations League | Estonia vs Iceland O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1:0 Dalian Kun City China League 1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Dalian Kun City O/U 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Nantong Zhiyun 1:0 Ningbo Professional FC China League 1 | Nantong Zhiyun vs Ningbo Professional FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Romania men's national association football team (Romania) 0:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) Nations League | Romania vs Sweden O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) Nations League | Cyprus vs Latvia O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | North Macedonia men's national football team (North Macedonia) 0:2 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) Nations League | North Macedonia vs Scotland O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) Nations League | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Sweden O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | São Bernardo Futebol Clube (São Bernardo FC) 3:1 Clube de Regatas Brasil (CR Brasil) Brasileiro Serie B | São Bernardo FC vs CR Brasil O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:0 Armenia men's national football team (Armenia) Nations League | Cyprus vs Armenia O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Grêmio Novorizontino 3:0 Goiás Esporte Clube (Goiás EC) Brasileiro Serie B | Grêmio Novorizontino vs Goiás EC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 2:4 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Denmark vs Portugal O/U 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Red Bull New York (New York Red Bulls) 0:3 St. Louis City SC MLS | New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City SC O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Wuxi Wugou 1:0 Ningbo Professional FC China League 1 | Wuxi Wugou vs Ningbo Professional FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | América FC 0:1 Esporte Clube Juventude (EC Juventude) Brasileiro Serie B | draw | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 3:1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) Nations League | Sweden vs Poland O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 3:1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) Nations League | Sweden vs Poland O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 0:0 Ukraine men's national football team (Ukraine) Nations League | Georgia vs Ukraine O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Portugal to win | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Goiás Esporte Clube (Goiás EC) 0:1 Atlético Clube Goianiense (AC Goianiense) Brasileiro Serie B | Goiás EC vs AC Goianiense O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Clube Náutico Capibaribe 3:1 Sport Club do Recife (SC Recife) Brasileiro Serie B | Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs SC Recife O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Operário Ferroviário Esporte Clube (Operário Ferroviário EC) 2:2 Ceará SC Brasileiro Serie B | Operário Ferroviário EC vs Ceará SC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 0:2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Italy vs Belgium O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Armenia men's national football team (Armenia) 2:0 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) Nations League | Armenia vs Latvia O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) 1:2 Greece men's national football team (Greece) Nations League | Serbia vs Greece O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | IF Gnistan 1:1 Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi (HJK Helsinki) Veikkausliiga | IF Gnistan vs HJK Helsinki O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Seinajoen JK IFK Mariehamn Veikkausliiga | Seinajoen JK vs IFK Mariehamn O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | América FC 0:2 São Bernardo Futebol Clube (São Bernardo FC) Brasileiro Serie B | draw at halftime | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | América FC 0:2 São Bernardo Futebol Clube (São Bernardo FC) Brasileiro Serie B | América FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Viking FK 8:1 Kristiansund BK Eliteserien | Viking FK vs Kristiansund BK O/U 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | FC Cincinnati 3:3 Charlotte FC MLS | FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC O/U 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Columbus Crew 0:1 Red Bull New York (New York Red Bulls) MLS | Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | SK Slavia Prague (SK Slavia Praha) 2:3 R.C. Lens (Racing Club de Lens) Champions League | SK Slavia Praha vs Racing Club de Lens O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 5:0 FK Bodø/Glimt Champions League | FC Bayern München vs FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Sporting CP 3:1 Galatasaray SK Champions League | Sporting CP vs Galatasaray SK O/U 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | VfB Stuttgart 3:1 Viking FK Champions League | VfB Stuttgart vs Viking FK O/U 5.5 | Lost |