Polymarket · Football
Elementary-Contrail is a World Cup pro on Polymarket: 57 picks, 80.7% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 48 won, 12 lost, 80.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 60 | 60 | 48 | 80.0% |
Elementary-Contrail mainly predicts World Cup: 60 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 80.7% hit rate over 57 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 21.6%. In World Cup, 48 of 60 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-07-19 21:26 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Bradley Barcola: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Bukayo Saka: 2+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | corners 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | corners 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Argentina to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | corners 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal to win | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (DR Congo) FIFA World Cup | corners 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | corners 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Kai Havertz: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | corners 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | corners 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | corners 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | corners 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | corners 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | corners 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | corners 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | corners 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | corners 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | corners 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Saudi Arabia O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Netherlands (Bosnia-Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1:1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs South Africa O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England to win | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium to win | Lost |