Polymarket · Football
Insubstantial-Notion is a Champions League pro on Polymarket: 35 picks, 65.7% win rate, $516 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 35 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 35 have settled: 23 won, 12 lost, 65.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champions League | 25 | 25 | 16 | 64.0% |
| Intl Friendlies | 10 | 10 | 7 | 70.0% |
Insubstantial-Notion mainly predicts Champions League: 25 of the last 35 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.7% hit rate over 35 orders, P&L $516, ROI 32.6%. In Champions League, 16 of 25 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-04-08 18:11 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | FC Barcelona 0:2 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) Champions League | FC Barcelona -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-04-09 | FC Barcelona 0:2 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) Champions League | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-04-09 | FC Barcelona 0:2 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) Champions League | draw | Lost |
| 2026-04-09 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain FC -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-04-09 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-08 | Sporting CP 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Sporting CP vs Arsenal FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-08 | Real Madrid 1:2 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Champions League | Real Madrid CF to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-01 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 0:0 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Intl Friendlies | Egypt vs Spain O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-04-01 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 1:1 Northern Ireland men's national association football team (Northern Ireland) Intl Friendlies | Wales vs Northern Ireland O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-01 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 2:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) Intl Friendlies | Morocco vs Paraguay O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-28 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 1:1 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) Intl Friendlies | Morocco vs Ecuador O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-28 | Netherlands 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Intl Friendlies | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-03-28 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) Intl Friendlies | England to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-28 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 3:4 Germany Intl Friendlies | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-03-27 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 France Intl Friendlies | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-03-27 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 France Intl Friendlies | France to win | Won |
| 2026-03-27 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 France Intl Friendlies | Brazil vs France O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-19 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 4:0 Galatasaray SK Champions League | Liverpool FC vs Galatasaray SK O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-19 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 4:1 Atalanta BC Champions League | FC Bayern München vs Atalanta BC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 3:2 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) Champions League | Club Atlético de Madrid to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-19 | FC Barcelona 7:2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) Champions League | FC Barcelona to win | Won |
| 2026-03-18 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 0:3 Paris Saint-Germain FC Champions League | Chelsea FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-18 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 1:2 Real Madrid Champions League | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-03-18 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 1:2 Real Madrid Champions League | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2026-03-18 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 1:2 Real Madrid Champions League | Manchester City FC -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-18 | Sporting CP 5:0 FK Bodø/Glimt Champions League | Sporting CP -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-03-12 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 5:2 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Champions League | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-03-12 | FK Bodø/Glimt 3:0 Sporting CP Champions League | FK Bodø/Glimt to win | Won |
| 2026-03-11 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Arsenal FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-11 | Real Madrid 3:0 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Champions League | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2026-03-11 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 5:2 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Champions League | Club Atlético de Madrid vs Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-11 | Atalanta BC 1:6 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Champions League | FC Bayern München to win | Won |
| 2026-03-11 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 5:2 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Champions League | Club Atlético de Madrid to win | Won |
| 2026-03-11 | Galatasaray SK 1:0 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-03-10 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) 1:1 FC Barcelona Champions League | Newcastle United FC to win | Lost |