Polymarket · Football
Light-Familiarity is a Intl Friendlies pro on Polymarket: 44 picks, 65.9% win rate, $16K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 44 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 44 have settled: 29 won, 15 lost, 65.9% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intl Friendlies | 19 | 19 | 13 | 68.4% |
| Bundesliga | 14 | 14 | 9 | 64.3% |
| Brasileiro Serie A | 11 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% |
Light-Familiarity mainly predicts Intl Friendlies: 19 of the last 44 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.9% hit rate over 44 orders, P&L $16K, ROI 36.3%. In Intl Friendlies, 13 of 19 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-09-29 09:31 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:4 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) Intl Friendlies | Brazil -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Clube do Remo 0:1 Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (CR Flamengo) Brasileiro Serie A | CR Flamengo to win | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Eintracht Frankfurt 1:4 FC Augsburg Bundesliga | FC Augsburg to win | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | S.C. Corinthians Paulista (SC Corinthians Paulista) 0:0 Club Athletico Paranaense (CA Paranaense) Brasileiro Serie A | CA Paranaense to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 0:4 Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (CR Flamengo) Brasileiro Serie A | CR Flamengo to win | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Coritiba F.C. (Coritiba FBC) 1:3 Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras (SE Palmeiras) Brasileiro Serie A | SE Palmeiras to win | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Club Athletico Paranaense (CA Paranaense) 1:0 Mirassol Futebol Clube (Mirassol FC) Brasileiro Serie A | CA Paranaense to win | Won |
| 2026-05-28 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:0 Russia men's national football team (Russia) Intl Friendlies | Russia to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-02 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 3:3 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 Bundesliga | FC Bayern München -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-04-18 | FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) 1:1 1. FC Köln Bundesliga | 1. FC Köln to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-13 | S.C. Corinthians Paulista (SC Corinthians Paulista) 0:0 Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras (SE Palmeiras) Brasileiro Serie A | SE Palmeiras to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-13 | Cruzeiro E.C. (Cruzeiro EC) 2:1 Red Bull Bragantino Brasileiro Serie A | Red Bull Bragantino to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-13 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 0:1 SC Freiburg Bundesliga | SC Freiburg to win | Won |
| 2026-04-12 | Mirassol Futebol Clube (Mirassol FC) 1:2 Esporte Clube Bahia (EC Bahia) Brasileiro Serie A | EC Bahia to win | Won |
| 2026-04-12 | Clube do Remo 1:1 CR Vasco da Gama Brasileiro Serie A | CR Vasco da Gama to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-11 | FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) 0:5 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | FC Bayern München to win | Won |
| 2026-04-11 | VfL Wolfsburg 1:2 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga | Eintracht Frankfurt to win | Won |
| 2026-04-05 | 1. FC Union Berlin 1:1 FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) Bundesliga | 1. FC Union Berlin to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-05 | São Paulo FC 4:1 Cruzeiro E.C. (Cruzeiro EC) Brasileiro Serie A | São Paulo FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-04 | VfB Stuttgart 0:2 Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) Bundesliga | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win | Won |
| 2026-04-04 | SC Freiburg 2:3 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | FC Bayern München to win | Won |
| 2026-04-04 | SV Werder Bremen 1:2 RB Leipzig Bundesliga | RB Leipzig to win | Won |
| 2026-04-03 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 2:0 Clube do Remo Brasileiro Serie A | Santos FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-01 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) Intl Friendlies | Brazil to win | Won |
| 2026-04-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Intl Friendlies | Belgium to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-01 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 2:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) Intl Friendlies | Morocco to win | Won |
| 2026-03-31 | San Marino men's national football team (San Marino) 0:0 Andorra Intl Friendlies | Andorra to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-31 | Singapore 1:0 Bangladesh men's national football team (Bangladesh) Intl Friendlies | Singapore to win | Won |
| 2026-03-30 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 3:2 Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) Intl Friendlies | Cyprus -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-30 | Germany 2:1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) Intl Friendlies | Germany -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-30 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 0:0 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Intl Friendlies | Spain -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-30 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:3 France Intl Friendlies | France to win | Won |
| 2026-03-29 | Lithuania men's national football team (Lithuania) 0:2 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) Intl Friendlies | Georgia to win | Won |
| 2026-03-29 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Intl Friendlies | Portugal to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-28 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 2:5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Intl Friendlies | Belgium to win | Won |
| 2026-03-28 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) Intl Friendlies | Japan to win | Won |
| 2026-03-28 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) 4:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) Intl Friendlies | Korea Republic to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-28 | Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) 0:1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) Intl Friendlies | Tunisia to win | Won |
| 2026-03-27 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 3:4 Germany Intl Friendlies | Germany to win | Won |
| 2026-03-27 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 1:1 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) Intl Friendlies | Morocco to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-08 | 1. FC Union Berlin 1:4 SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga | 1. FC Union Berlin to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-08 | FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) 0:0 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga | Eintracht Frankfurt to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-07 | 1. FC Köln 1:2 Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) Bundesliga | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win | Won |
| 2026-03-07 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2:4 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win | Won |