Polymarket · Football
elmesias is a World Cup pro on Polymarket: 37 picks, 67.6% win rate, $453 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 42 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 42 have settled: 28 won, 14 lost, 66.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 23 | 23 | 16 | 69.6% |
| Liga MX | 10 | 10 | 7 | 70.0% |
| La Liga | 9 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% |
elmesias mainly predicts World Cup: 23 of the last 42 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 67.6% hit rate over 37 orders, P&L $453, ROI 62.7%. In World Cup, 16 of 23 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-09-27 00:12 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 3:3 Toluca FC (Deportivo Toluca FC) Liga MX | Deportivo Toluca FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Club Tijuana 2:3 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Liga MX | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Club América (CF América) 3:0 Atletico de San Luis (Atlético San Luis) Liga MX | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | draw | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Spain to win | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland to win | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3:3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Austria to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Alexander Isak: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Japan to win | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Enner Valencia: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England vs Croatia O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | United States vs Paraguay O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1:1 Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Netherlands (Bosnia-Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2026-05-18 | Pumas UNAM (Pumas de la UNAM) 1:0 CF Pachuca Liga MX | Pumas de la UNAM to win | Won |
| 2026-05-02 | Girona 0:1 RCD Mallorca La Liga | RCD Mallorca to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-04 | RCD Mallorca 2:1 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-04 | Club Necaxa 2:1 Mazatlán FC Liga MX | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-03-23 | Real Madrid 3:2 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2026-03-23 | Real Madrid 3:2 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) La Liga | Real Madrid CF vs Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-08 | Villarreal CF (Villarreal) 2:1 Elche CF La Liga | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-03-08 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 1:2 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | CD Guadalajara to win | Won |
| 2026-03-07 | RC Celta de Vigo 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2026-02-16 | Girona 2:1 FC Barcelona La Liga | FC Barcelona -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-02-15 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 1:0 Club América (CF América) Liga MX | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-02-15 | Real Madrid 4:1 Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) La Liga | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-02-14 | Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) 2:3 Pumas UNAM (Pumas de la UNAM) Liga MX | Club Puebla vs Pumas de la UNAM O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-02-14 | Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) 2:3 Pumas UNAM (Pumas de la UNAM) Liga MX | Pumas de la UNAM to win | Won |
| 2026-02-02 | Getafe 0:0 RC Celta de Vigo La Liga | RC Celta de Vigo to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-01 | Atletico de San Luis (Atlético San Luis) 2:3 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | CD Guadalajara to win | Won |