Kalshi · Baseball
vfrischa is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 27 picks, 63.0% win rate, $466 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 33 won, 27 lost, 55.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 31 | 31 | 19 | 61.3% |
| NBA | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| NFL | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| NCAAF | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| MLS | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
vfrischa mainly predicts MLB: 31 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.0% hit rate over 27 orders, P&L $466, ROI 33.8%. In MLB, 19 of 31 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-25 19:59 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Detroit Lions 20:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Atlanta Falcons 29:20 San Francisco 49ers NFL | SF -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | San Antonio Spurs 110:114 Houston Rockets NBA | San Antonio wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Oklahoma City Thunder 96:84 Denver Nuggets NBA | Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Los Angeles Clippers 121:96 Sacramento Kings NBA | Sacramento wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Los Angeles Lakers 127:105 Golden State Warriors NBA | Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | San Antonio Spurs 104:116 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | Oklahoma City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Detroit Pistons 121:113 Boston Celtics NBA | Jayson Tatum: 6+ assists | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Detroit Pistons 121:113 Boston Celtics NBA | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Bodoe/Glimt 1:0 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Champions League | Both teams score in the 2nd Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Alabama Crimson Tide 17:20 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | Georgia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Chicago Bulls 100:104 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Chicago wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Cloud9 1:3 Olympique Lyonnais (LYON) LCS | LYON wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Team Liquid 1:2 Aurora BLAST Slam | Team Liquid wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | D'Andre Swift: 15+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | UAB Blazers 24:20 Navy Midshipmen NCAAF | Navy wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Green Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Carolina Panthers 37:59 Chicago Bears NFL | Chicago vs Carolina Pro Football game: Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | New York Mets 2:5 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | New York Mets 2:5 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs New York M First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Chicago Cubs 7:5 Chicago WS MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Seattle 0:2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Seattle vs Vancouver Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | New York Mets 4:3 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs New York M First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | New York Mets 4:3 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Chunichi Dragons 0:11 Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB | Yomiuri Giants vs Chunichi Dragons winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | New York Mets 4:1 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs New York M First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | New York Mets 4:1 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Angels 5:2 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:2 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:3 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:6 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:5 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Minnesota Lynx 82:89 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Minnesota women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Arizona Cardinals 30:33 Carolina Panthers NFL | Carolina to win | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | St. Louis Cardinals 3:7 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | New York Mets 2:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | LAD -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | New York Mets 2:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | New York Mets 2:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Leones 1:1 Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) Ecuador LigaPro | Leones vs Guayaquil City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Leones 1:1 Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) Ecuador LigaPro | Leones vs Guayaquil City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | St. Louis Cardinals 6:10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Cleveland Guardians 1:3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Inter Miami CF 3:2 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Boston Red Sox 1:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Colorado Rockies 0:8 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Boston Red Sox 6:3 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Atlanta Braves 3:8 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Colorado Rockies 8:7 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Atlanta Braves 6:7 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Chicago Cubs 6:2 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:5 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Caitlin Clark: 15+ points | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Indiana winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | NL 0:4 AL MLB | AL vs NL Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | San Diego 0:8 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | San Francisco 2:1 Athletics MLB | A's vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | Saitama Seibu Lions 0:6 Yokohama DeNA BayStars Japan NPB | Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Saitama Seibu Lions winner | Won |