Kalshi · Football
umshell74 is a Club Friendlies pro on Kalshi: 38 picks, 63.2% win rate, $225 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 37 won, 23 lost, 61.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Friendlies | 37 | 37 | 24 | 64.9% |
| FIFA World Cup | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| Premier League | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| La Liga | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Copa do Brasil | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| Argentina Primera Division | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
umshell74 mainly predicts Club Friendlies: 37 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.2% hit rate over 38 orders, P&L $225, ROI 25.6%. In Club Friendlies, 24 of 37 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-18 20:01 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:3 Elche CF La Liga | Elche wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Mendoza 2:2 Boca Juniors Argentina Primera Division | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Villarreal CF 2:3 Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) La Liga | Deportivo De La Coruna wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 0:0 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Aston Villa wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 1:1 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 2:3 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Aston Villa vs Arsenal Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1:1 Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) La Liga | Malaga vs Deportivo De La Coruna Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | FC Barcelona 2:1 Al Ahly (EGY) Club Friendlies | Barcelona vs Al Ahly (EGY) Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (Heidenheim) 2:4 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Club Friendlies | Heidenheim vs Bayern Munich Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:0 Como 1907 Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Como Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | FC Basel (FC Basel 1893) 2:5 FC Barcelona Club Friendlies | Basel vs Barcelona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Inter Milan (Inter) 1:0 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) Club Friendlies | Inter vs Real Betis Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 3:1 Real Sociedad Club Friendlies | Chelsea vs Real Sociedad Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | AC Milan 4:2 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Club Friendlies | Milan vs Manchester United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) 2:0 AS Monaco FC Club Friendlies | Coventry vs Monaco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Minnesota 3:1 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Leagues Cup | Minnesota vs Atlante Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Palermo F.C. (Palermo FC) 0:2 Juventus FC Club Friendlies | Palermo vs Juventus Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Socuellamos 0:3 Villarrobledo Club Friendlies | Socuellamos vs Villarrobledo Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Silkeborg IF 1:0 Odense Boldklub (Odense BK) Danish Superliga | Silkeborg vs Odense Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Silkeborg IF 1:0 Odense Boldklub (Odense BK) Danish Superliga | Silkeborg vs Odense Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Olympique de Marseille (Marseille) 3:1 Bilbao Club Friendlies | Marseille vs Bilbao Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 1:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Club Friendlies | PSG vs Manchester United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 1:2 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Club Friendlies | Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Los Angeles FC 1:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Leagues Cup | Los Angeles F vs Guadalajara Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Junin 2:1 Rivadavia Argentina Primera Division | Junin vs Rivadavia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Celtic F.C. (Celtic FC) 1:0 Dundee F.C. (Dundee FC) Scottish Premiership | Celtic vs Dundee FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Al-Shabab Football Club (Al-Shabab) 3:1 MC Algiers (MC Alger) Club Friendlies | Al-Shabab vs MC Alger Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 1:0 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) Club Friendlies | Sunderland vs Wrexham Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Burnley F.C. (Burnley FC) 0:1 Torino FC Club Friendlies | Burnley vs Torino Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Volendam 1:3 AFC Ajax Club Friendlies | Volendam vs Ajax Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 0:0 Remo Copa do Brasil | Santos vs Remo Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) 0:0 Juventude RS Copa do Brasil | Atletico Mineiro vs Juventude RS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | CR Vasco da Gama (Vasco da Gama) 0:0 Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) Copa do Brasil | Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Girona FC 1:4 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Club Friendlies | Girona vs Arsenal Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Real Madrid 2:2 ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) Club Friendlies | Real Madrid vs Fiorentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Birmingham City F.C. (Birmingham) 2:2 FC Barcelona Club Friendlies | Birmingham vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Juventus FC 2:0 Nice Club Friendlies | Juventus vs Nice Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 1:0 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Club Friendlies | Leeds United vs Sunderland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 1:0 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Wrexham Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 1:0 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) Club Friendlies | LFC -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Doncaster Rovers F.C. (Doncaster) 0:2 Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton) Club Friendlies | Doncaster vs Wolverhampton Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | AEK Athens F.C. (AEK Athens) 1:2 Samsunspor FC (Samsunspor) Club Friendlies | AEK Athens vs Samsunspor Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 1:1 Sydney FC Club Friendlies | Tottenham vs Sydney FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Al Ahli Saudi Club 1:1 Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) Club Friendlies | Al Ahli Saudi vs Fulham Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 2:4 Real Sociedad Club Friendlies | Aston Villa vs Real Sociedad Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 0:3 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Club Friendlies | Galatasaray vs Venezia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 4:2 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Sunderland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | PSV Eindhoven (Eindhoven) 1:3 Villarreal CF Club Friendlies | Eindhoven vs Villarreal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton) 1:2 Real Sociedad Club Friendlies | Wolverhampton vs Real Sociedad Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton) 1:2 Real Sociedad Club Friendlies | Wolverhampton vs Real Sociedad Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Le Mans F.C. (Le Mans FC) 1:0 FC Nantes Club Friendlies | Le Mans vs Nantes Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Wiesbaden 2:1 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Club Friendlies | Wiesbaden vs Bayern Munich Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Rosenborg BK 0:5 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Club Friendlies | Rosenborg vs Manchester United Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |