Kalshi · Baseball
theSharpSharpie is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 44 picks, 70.5% win rate, $7K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 42 won, 18 lost, 70.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 39 | 39 | 28 | 71.8% |
| NFL | 10 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% |
| NCAAF | 9 | 9 | 7 | 77.8% |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
theSharpSharpie mainly predicts MLB: 39 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.5% hit rate over 44 orders, P&L $7K, ROI 20.2%. In MLB, 28 of 39 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-29 22:50 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | James Madison Dukes 21:24 Troy NCAAF | Under 56.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Utah Jazz 111:117 San Antonio Spurs NBA | San Antonio wins | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Milwaukee Bucks 110:102 Indiana Pacers NBA | Indiana wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Bowling Green Falcons 31:32 Ball State Cardinals NCAAF | Bowling Green wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona Cardinals 21:45 Detroit Lions NFL | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Mercer Bears 17:14 Western Carolina Catamounts NCAAF | Mercer wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Vanderbilt Commodores 17:52 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Ole Miss wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Central Michigan Chippewas 41:17 Akron Zips NCAAF | Central Michigan wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Detroit Lions 31:24 New York Jets NFL | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Milwaukee Brewers 6:4 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | MIL +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Arkansas Razorbacks 34:6 Tulsa Golden Hurricane NCAAF | Arkansas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Minnesota 2:6 Texas MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Green Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Philadelphia 1:5 Milwaukee MLB | MIL +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Kansas City 1:9 Chicago WS MLB | Team Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Texas 2:7 New York Mets MLB | Team Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Boston 2:3 Cleveland MLB | Team Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | CHI Bears 3:9 MIN Vikings NFL | Chicago wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Jets 17:20 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Colorado 5:3 Seattle MLB | Under 12.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Florida Atlantic Owls 16:10 Florida International Panthers NCAAF | Florida Atlantic wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Chicago WS 3:1 Detroit MLB | Team Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Chicago Cubs 8:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Team Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Team Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | St. Louis Cardinals 3:10 San Francisco Giants MLB | STL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Los Angeles Angels 6:4 Seattle Mariners MLB | Team Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Boston Red Sox 4:1 Kansas City Royals MLB | Team Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Philadelphia Eagles 24:22 Washington Commanders NFL | Team Under 31.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Indianapolis Colts 23:41 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore vs Indianapolis Pro Football game: Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Minnesota Vikings 39:22 Green Bay NFL | Team Under 28.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | East Carolina Pirates 24:27 Appalachian St. NCAAF | East Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Seattle Mariners 4:7 Athletics MLB | SEA +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Los Angeles Angels 3:6 New York Yankees MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Chicago Cubs 4:9 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | CHC +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Cincinnati Reds 0:5 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Los Angeles Angels 2:5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:6 San Diego Padres MLB | TB +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 34:27 Eastern Washington Eagles NCAAF | Northern Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Miami Marlins 4:0 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:5 Kansas City Royals MLB | TOR +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Chicago WS 2:11 Texas MLB | CWS +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Boston Red Sox 6:4 San Francisco Giants MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Baltimore Orioles 1:6 New York Yankees MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Boston Red Sox 6:7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | BOS +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Chicago Cubs 7:5 Chicago WS MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Toronto Blue Jays 4:1 New York Yankees MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Atlanta Braves 0:2 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | ATL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | New York Yankees 0:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | NYY +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Angels 7:0 Texas Rangers MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | San Francisco Giants 4:1 Houston Astros MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 13:1 Athletics MLB | BOS +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Kansas City Royals 3:4 Minnesota Twins MLB | KC +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Houston Astros 4:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:9 Chicago WS MLB | TB +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Chicago Cubs 5:2 New York Yankees MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Athletics 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | ATH +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Cincinnati Reds 5:6 Cleveland Guardians MLB | CIN +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Minnesota Twins 2:0 Athletics MLB | MIN +1.5 | Lost |