Kalshi · Football
surferfred is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 42 picks, 64.3% win rate, $237 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 35 | 35 | 19 | 54.3% |
| Nations League | 9 | 9 | 7 | 77.8% |
| NFL | 9 | 9 | 6 | 66.7% |
| NCAAF | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| MLB | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
surferfred mainly predicts World Cup: 35 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.3% hit rate over 42 orders, P&L $237, ROI 8.3%. In World Cup, 19 of 35 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-10 21:40 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Oklahoma 27:24 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Alabama State Hornets 27:28 Florida A&M Rattlers NCAAF | Alabama St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 1:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 3:0 North Macedonia men's national football team (North Macedonia) Nations League | Switzerland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | England men's national association football team (England) 3:0 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) Nations League | England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 1:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | France 4:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 3:1 Turkiye Nations League | Italy wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) Nations League | Cyprus wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Carolina wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Clemson Tigers 13:41 Miami (FL) NCAAF | Miami (FL) wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Mississippi State Bulldogs 23:56 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | Alabama wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3:0 Turkiye Nations League | Belgium wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | New Orleans Saints 27:35 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | New Orleans wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33:31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | LSU to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Houston Texans 20:22 Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) NFL | Las Vegas vs Houston Pro Football game: HOU Texans wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Houston Texans 20:22 Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) NFL | Las Vegas vs Houston Pro Football game: LV Raiders wins | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | New York Yankees 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0:2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Curacao vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | France vs Iraq Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Tunisia vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Won |