Kalshi · Football
soap.chair is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 21 picks, 66.7% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 34 won, 26 lost, 56.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 15 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% |
| Eerste Divisie | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| MLB | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| Argentina Primera Division | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| TFF 1. Lig | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
soap.chair mainly predicts World Cup: 15 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 21 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 24.7%. In World Cup, 5 of 15 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-19 19:59 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Juventus Next Gen 2:1 Renate Serie C | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | FC Voluntari 1:2 FCSB Romanian Liga I | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Jong Ajax Amsterdam 2:1 De Graafschap Eerste Divisie | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Jong FC Utrecht 1:2 Roda Eerste Divisie | Utrecht wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Al Masry SC (Al Masry) 1:1 Abo Qair Semads Egyptian Premier League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Trabzonspor 2:0 Besiktas Super Lig | Trabzonspor wins | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Viborg FF (Viborg) 1:2 FC Midtjylland Danish Superliga | Midtjylland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | AC Monza 4:0 Cagliari Calcio Serie A | Monza wins | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Presov 1:1 Zilina B Slovakian 2. Liga | Zilina B wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Karagumruk 1:2 Keciorengucu TFF 1. Lig | Keciorengucu wins | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Cali 0:0 Junior de Barranquilla (Junior) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Guabirá (Guabira) 1:1 Oriente Bolivia Premier Division | Oriente wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Trinidense 1:0 Club Libertad (Libertad) APF Division de Honor | Trinidense wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Cleveland Guardians 3:7 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Aguilas Doradas Rionegro 2:2 Pereira Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Aguilas Doradas Rionegro wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:3 Elche CF La Liga | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:3 Elche CF La Liga | Elche wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Trinidense 0:1 Club Guaraní (Club Guarani) APF Division de Honor | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | KAA Gent (Gent) 2:1 Standard Belgian Pro League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Stabia 1:1 Cesena FC Serie B | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Almere 1:0 Heracles Almelo Eerste Divisie | Almere wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Manchester City WFC 4:2 Liverpool W English Women's Super League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | FC Eindhoven 3:1 Emmen Eerste Divisie | FC Eindhoven wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Mugla 2:2 Igdir TFF 1. Lig | Igdir wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Greuther Furth) 1:1 Magdeburg Bundesliga 2 | Greuther Furth wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Opava 2:1 Ceska Lipa Czech National Football League | Opava wins | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | CF Pachuca 2:3 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Pachuca vs Puebla Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Pittsburgh Pirates 5:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | New York Mets 2:1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Guarani Futebol Clube (Guarani) 2:2 Ypiranga Brasileiro Serie C | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Club Atlético Vélez Sarsfield (Velez Sarsfield) 1:1 Defensa y Justicia Argentina Primera Division | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:6 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Club Atlético Lanús (Lanus) 1:3 Club Atlético Independiente (Independiente Avellaneda) Argentina Primera Division | Lanus vs Independiente Avellaneda Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Cardiff City F.C. (Cardiff) 1:1 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) EFL Championship | Cardiff vs Wrexham Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Novi Pazar 2:0 FK Vojvodina (FK Vojvodina Novi Sad) Serbian SuperLiga | Novi Pazar vs Vojvodina Novi Sad Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | De Graafschap 2:5 Jong AZ Alkmaar Eerste Divisie | De Graafschap vs Jong AZ Alkmaar Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Rio Cuarto 0:1 Atlético Tucumán (Atletico Tucuman) Argentina Primera Division | Rio Cuarto vs Tucuman Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Rio Cuarto 0:1 Atlético Tucumán (Atletico Tucuman) Argentina Primera Division | Rio Cuarto vs Tucuman Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Gijon 0:0 Centre d'Esports Sabadell Futbol Club (Sabadell) La Liga 2 | Gijon vs Sabadell Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Seattle 1:5 Portland Fire (Portland) MLS | Seattle vs Portland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Club Necaxa 2:1 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Liga MX | Necaxa vs Atlante Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Orense S.C. (Orense SC) 0:2 Club Sport Emelec (Emelec) Ecuador LigaPro | Orense vs Emelec Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Dallas Wings 96:66 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | LV -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | both teams score in the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5:1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | SWE +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5:1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | Sweden vs Tunisia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Vancouver FC 2:1 Pacific FC Canadian Premier League | Vancouver FC vs Pacific Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Germany 7:1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | GER +4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | D. Concepcion 3:2 Club de Deportes Limache (Deportes Limache) Chile Liga de Primera | D. Concepcion vs Deportes Limache Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Germany 7:1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | GER -1.5 | Won |