Kalshi · American football
smooth.flag is a NCAAF pro on Kalshi: 33 picks, 63.6% win rate, $387 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 56 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 56 have settled: 29 won, 27 lost, 51.8% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 34 | 34 | 21 | 61.8% |
| NFL | 8 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% |
| NBA | 4 | 4 | 0 | — |
| FIFA World Cup | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| MLB | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| College Baseball | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
smooth.flag mainly predicts NCAAF: 34 of the last 56 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.6% hit rate over 33 orders, P&L $387, ROI 37.4%. In NCAAF, 21 of 34 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-27 01:37 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Miami Heat 109:113 Dallas Mavericks NBA | MIA -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Miami (FL) 43:35 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | Florida St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Texas Longhorns 24:27 Florida Gators NCAAF | TEX -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Texas Longhorns 24:27 Florida Gators NCAAF | TEX -17.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Boston College Eagles 27:21 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | Boston College wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Purdue Boilermakers 26:38 Washington NCAAF | PUR +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Texas State Bobcats 66:27 Colorado State Rams NCAAF | TXST -14.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | ATL -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Alabama Crimson Tide 17:20 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | ALA +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Oklahoma 27:24 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Under 40.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Oklahoma 27:24 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Oklahoma wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Oklahoma 27:24 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | TEX -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Oklahoma 27:24 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | TEX +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Oklahoma 27:24 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | TEX -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Colorado Buffaloes 7:29 Texas Tech Red Raiders NCAAF | Texas Tech wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | James Madison Dukes 45:17 Marshall Thundering Herd NCAAF | JMU +16.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | NYY -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | PHI -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Cleveland Browns 21:18 Carolina Panthers NFL | CAR +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | USC Trojans 27:41 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | ORE -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Miami (FL) 52:3 Central Michigan Chippewas NCAAF | MIA -41.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Tennessee wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | IND -20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | TCU Horned Frogs 31:7 Arkansas State Red Wolves NCAAF | TCU -14.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Rice Owls 21:28 Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF | WMU +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 28:26 Houston NCAAF | TTU +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Houston Texans 31:36 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo vs Houston Pro Football game: Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Pittsburgh Steelers 20:13 Atlanta Falcons NFL | PIT +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | OSU +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | LSU Tigers 45:14 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs NCAAF | LSU -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Minnesota 13:38 Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAAF | MINN +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Michigan Wolverines 17:10 Oklahoma NCAAF | OKLA -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Miami (FL) 77:7 Florida A&M Rattlers NCAAF | Under 63.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Virginia Cavaliers 59:3 Norfolk State Spartans NCAAF | UVA -24.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | TEX -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Texas to win | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | MISS +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 33:10 Abilene Christian Wildcats NCAAF | TTU -42.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Texas Longhorns 59:7 Texas State Bobcats NCAAF | TEX -38.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Stanford Cardinal 37:27 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors NCAAF | STAN -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Cleveland Browns 37:13 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Cleveland Pro Football game: Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Pittsburgh Steelers 0:17 New York Jets NFL | NYJ -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Dallas Wings 98:99 New York Liberty WNBA | NY -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Milwaukee Brewers 8:3 New York Mets MLB | MIL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Philadelphia Phillies 10:7 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | PHI +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-10 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | NYK -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111:115 San Antonio NBA | NYK -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-08 | Oklahoma 13:2 Kansas College Baseball | Kansas vs Oklahoma winner | Won |
| 2026-06-07 | New 111:115 San Antonio NBA | NYK -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | Texas 11:3 Oregon College Baseball | Oregon vs Texas winner | Lost |