Kalshi · Baseball
smokingood is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 15 picks, 60.0% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 25 won, 34 lost, 42.4% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 23 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% |
| NCAAF | 13 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% |
| MLB | 12 | 12 | 6 | 50.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 9 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% |
| Korea KBO | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| ESL Challenger League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
smokingood mainly predicts NFL: 23 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.0% hit rate over 15 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 52.9%. In NFL, 8 of 22 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-25 20:35 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LLWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Detroit Lions 20:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | New York Jets 25:28 Miami Dolphins NFL | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | New Orleans Saints 10:16 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | New Orleans wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Utes 21:13 Houston NCAAF | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19:26 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Houston 35:32 Oklahoma State Cowboys NCAAF | Oklahoma St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Tennessee 26:10 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | Tennessee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Buffalo 25:18 Massachusetts Minutemen NCAAF | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Indiana Hoosiers 15:19 Ohio St. NCAAF | Indiana wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Detonate 1:2 Iowa Stormboar ESL Challenger League | Detonate wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Washington Commanders 27:27 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Miami Dolphins 24:31 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | Ollie Gordon II: 10+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Miami Dolphins 24:31 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | Chris Bell: 25+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Miami Dolphins 24:31 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | New York Jets 17:12 Cleveland Browns NFL | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Under 41.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Alabama Crimson Tide 17:20 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | Alabama wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Oklahoma 27:24 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 17:20 Indiana Hoosiers NCAAF | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:0 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Under 39.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Miami Dolphins 10:24 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Stanford Cardinal 34:27 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets NCAAF | Georgia Tech wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | West Virginia Mountaineers 24:41 Oklahoma State Cowboys NCAAF | Oklahoma St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Ole Miss wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Philadelphia Eagles 24:22 Washington Commanders NFL | Washington vs Philadelphia Pro Football game: Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Los Angeles C 14:26 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Arizona vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game: Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) 27:13 Miami Dolphins NFL | Miami vs Las Vegas Pro Football game: Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Texas to win | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17:10 Oklahoma NCAAF | Michigan to win | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | New York Yankees 10:3 Colorado Rockies MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:2 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Detroit Tigers 3:4 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Washington Commanders 20:7 Miami Dolphins NFL | Miami to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Arizona Cardinals 30:33 Carolina Panthers NFL | Carolina to win | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Diamondbacks 10:4 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Chicago Cubs 1:2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Doosan Bears 8:3 LG Twins Korea KBO | LG Twins vs Doosan Bears winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Kiwoom Heroes 5:3 SSG Landers Korea KBO | SSG Landers vs Kiwoom Heroes winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | New York Mets 4:2 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Cincinnati Reds 3:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Los Angeles Angels 3:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:5 Athletics MLB | A's vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Houston 2:0 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Cleveland 6:7 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Won |