Kalshi · Baseball
serious.crow8378 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 21 picks, 61.9% win rate, $515 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 56 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 56 have settled: 25 won, 31 lost, 44.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 21 | 21 | 13 | 61.9% |
| NCAAF | 15 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% |
| NFL | 12 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% |
| Intl Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Nations League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
serious.crow8378 mainly predicts MLB: 21 of the last 56 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.9% hit rate over 21 orders, P&L $515, ROI 49.3%. In MLB, 13 of 21 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-05 04:59 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | Under 47.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | PHI Eagles 20:24 Los Angeles Rams NFL | LAR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | Mexico wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) Nations League | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Team Under 20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | LAR +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington 24:27 Minnesota NCAAF | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | FLA +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 41:13 Oklahoma NCAAF | UGA +13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | MISS -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:4 San Diego MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 17:34 Liberty Flames NCAAF | Liberty wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | San Francisco 2:3 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Tennessee Titans 20:24 PHI Eagles NFL | PHI -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | KC -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | San Diego State Aztecs 13:26 James Madison Dukes NCAAF | James Madison wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Auburn Tigers 39:44 Florida Gators NCAAF | FLA -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 28:26 Houston NCAAF | Houston to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 28:26 Houston NCAAF | HOU -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 28:26 Houston NCAAF | TTU +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Portland Fire 91:94 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Portland wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Los Angeles Angels 5:4 Minnesota MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Be`er Sheva 0:0 GNK Dinamo Zagreb (Dinamo Zagreb) Europa League | Dinamo Zagreb wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: New York G wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Los Angeles C 14:26 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Arizona vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game: Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Minnesota Vikings 39:22 Green Bay NFL | Green Bay vs Minnesota Pro Football game: Green Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 29:19 New Mexico State Aggies NCAAF | HAW +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Ohio St. to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | BYU Cougars 28:17 Arizona NCAAF | Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Boston College Eagles 28:21 Rutgers Scarlet Knights NCAAF | Rutgers wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Pittsburgh Pirates 13:12 San Francisco Giants MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Chicago Cubs 4:9 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Kansas City Royals 3:6 Miami Marlins MLB | Kansas City wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Tampa Bay 6:2 New York Mets MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Northern Colorado Bears 29:30 Weber State Wildcats NCAAF | UNCO +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | FC Hradec Králové 1:1 Panathinaikos F.C. (Panathinaikos) Conference League | Panathinaikos To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | New York Mets 2:8 Milwaukee MLB | MIL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Viking FK 3:1 GNK Dinamo Zagreb (Dinamo Zagreb) Champions League | Viking vs Dinamo Zagreb: Dinamo Zagreb To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) 2:0 Club Sport Emelec (Emelec) Ecuador LigaPro | LDU Quito vs Emelec Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | St. Louis Cardinals 7:1 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | New York Yankees 10:5 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Minnesota Twins 9:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | New York Yankees 1:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Chicago WS 5:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | San Francisco Giants 1:3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Seattle Mariners 2:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | St. Louis Cardinals 6:10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Philadelphia Phillies 5:9 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | San Francisco 3:4 Colorado MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Baltimore 3:2 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Baltimore 3:2 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Chicago WS 1:2 Boston MLB | Boston vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |