Kalshi · Football
rough.threat is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 36 picks, 63.9% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 31 won, 28 lost, 52.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 16 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% |
| Liga MX | 14 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% |
| Champions League | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| La Liga | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
rough.threat mainly predicts MLB: 16 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.9% hit rate over 36 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 40.1%. In MLB, 7 of 16 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-30 00:18 UTC+0. Method: methodology
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| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Green Bay Packers 13:10 Carolina Panthers NFL | Green Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-29 | Manchester City WFC 1:1 PSG W Women's Champions League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 1:1 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) EFL Cup | Liverpool To Advance | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Tampa Bay Rays 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Boston Celtics 125:124 Brooklyn Nets NBA | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | America 1:2 CF Pachuca Liga MX | America wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 4:3 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Milwaukee Brewers 5:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Leon 1:1 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 0:1 San Luis Liga MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Los Angeles Lakers 125:117 Los Angeles Clippers NBA | Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Club Necaxa 1:1 Juarez Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Boston Celtics 107:103 New York Knicks NBA | New York wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Atlético Grau (Atletico Grau) 1:1 Asociación Deportiva Tarma (Asociacion Deportiva Tarma) Peru Liga 1 | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Torino FC 3:2 AC Monza Serie A | Torino wins | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Hoffenheim) 3:0 Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) Europa League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 2:0 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 2:5 America Liga MX | America wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Como 1907 4:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Champions League | Manchester United wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 0:2 Leon Liga MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | VfB Stuttgart 1:1 Atletico Champions League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 3:1 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | Tottenham wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Real Madrid 4:1 Sevilla FC La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 1:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Golden State Valkyries 68:64 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 2:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Club Tijuana 1:1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Tijuana wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Cleveland Guardians 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Fukuoka Hawks 6:2 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters Japan NPB | Fukuoka Hawks wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:1 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 7:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Levante UD 3:3 Sevilla FC La Liga | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Real Valladolid (Valladolid) 5:0 Albacete Balompié (Albacete) La Liga 2 | Valladolid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Pumas UNAM 3:3 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | San Luis 1:2 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Liga MX | San Luis wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Uni Catolica 0:1 Macara Ecuador LigaPro | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Kataller Toyama 1:1 Tegevajaro Japan J2 League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | America 1:1 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | America wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 1:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Las Vegas Aces 77:87 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | New York Yankees 3:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Atlanta Braves 1:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Atlanta Braves 1:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) 1:0 Suriname CONCACAF Nations League | Guatemala wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Martinique 1:1 El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) CONCACAF Nations League | El Salvador wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 San Diego Padres MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) 0:2 Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) CONCACAF Nations League | El Salvador wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 0:0 Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) Intl Friendlies | Korea Republic wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | San Diego Padres 4:1 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Atlanta Braves 5:3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) 0:1 Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) CONCACAF Nations League | Jamaica wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Saitama Seibu Lions 2:4 Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Japan NPB | Saitama Seibu Lions wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Kansas City Royals 3:2 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |