Kalshi · Football
related.moth1114 is a Premier League pro on Kalshi: 108 picks, 66.7% win rate, $12K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 39 won, 21 lost, 65.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 30 | 30 | 24 | 80.0% |
| Champions League | 9 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% |
| La Liga | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| EFL Championship | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| EFL Cup | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Nations League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
related.moth1114 mainly predicts Premier League: 30 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 108 orders, P&L $12K, ROI 20.3%. In Premier League, 24 of 30 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-24 19:21 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Netherlands 1:1 Germany Nations League | Germany wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 1:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 1:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico 2:1 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 5:3 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton) 1:0 West Bromwich Albion F.C. (West Bromwich) EFL Championship | Wolverhampton wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1:3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:1 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | Coventry wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:1 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 2:3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Millwall F.C. (Millwall FC) 2:2 West Ham United F.C. (West Ham) EFL Championship | West Ham wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:3 Elche CF La Liga | Elche wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Manchester City WFC 4:2 Liverpool W English Women's Super League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3:0 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 2:3 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) EFL Cup | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 2:3 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) EFL Cup | Reg Time: Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 2:3 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) EFL Cup | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: New York G wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Alianza Fútbol Club (Alianza FC Valledupar) 1:0 Junior de Barranquilla (Junior) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Alianza FC Valledupar wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 0:0 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 0:0 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 0:0 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | Tottenham wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 2:2 Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:0 Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) Premier League | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:0 Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) Premier League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 4:0 Sabah Masazir Champions League | MUN +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Como 1907 4:1 Leipzig Champions League | Leipzig wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | PSV Eindhoven (Eindhoven) 1:1 FC Shakhtar Donetsk (Shakhtar) Champions League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | PSV Eindhoven (Eindhoven) 1:1 FC Shakhtar Donetsk (Shakhtar) Champions League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:1 Atletico Champions League | Both teams score in the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | FC Barcelona 5:1 Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) Champions League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | FC Barcelona 5:1 Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) Champions League | BAR +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Real Madrid 2:1 Inter Milan (Inter) Champions League | Both teams score in the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge) 2:3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Champions League | Aston Villa wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 2:2 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Manchester United wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 1:2 AS Monaco FC Ligue 1 | Monaco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Real Sociedad 0:0 RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) La Liga | Real Sociedad wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | West Ham United F.C. (West Ham) 4:2 Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton) EFL Championship | West Ham wins | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Aston Villa vs Arsenal Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | FC Augsburg 3:0 Schalke 04 (Schalke) Bundesliga | Augsburg vs Schalke Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 5:2 Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) Premier League | Manchester United vs Ipswich Town Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:2 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham) Premier League | Liverpool vs Nottingham Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:2 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham) Premier League | Liverpool vs Nottingham Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:2 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham) Premier League | Both teams score in the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 1:4 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Crystal Palace vs Manchester City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | FC Barcelona 2:0 Bilbao La Liga | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | FK Jablonec 1:0 Rangers F.C. (Rangers FC) Conference League | Rangers To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Real Madrid 4:1 Real Sociedad La Liga | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 2:3 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Fulham vs Chelsea Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 2:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Newcastle vs Liverpool Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 2:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Both teams score in the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) 2:1 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Premier League | Both teams score in the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 2:0 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Premier League | Everton vs Crystal Palace Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 2:0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Both teams score in the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 2:0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Hull City vs Manchester United Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Atletico 2:0 Málaga CF (Malaga) La Liga | ATM -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:0 Como 1907 Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Como Winner | Won |