Kalshi · Baseball
pump.bug is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 55 picks, 78.2% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 39 won, 20 lost, 66.1% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 38 | 38 | 27 | 71.1% |
| WNBA | 19 | 19 | 11 | 57.9% |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
pump.bug mainly predicts MLB: 38 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 78.2% hit rate over 55 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 17.6%. In MLB, 27 of 38 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-15 02:37 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Houston Astros 10:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | HOU -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Indiana Fever 98:87 Dallas Wings WNBA | IND -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Indiana Fever 98:87 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Indiana women's Pro Basketball game: Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati Reds 1:0 Miami Marlins MLB | CIN +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | LAD +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Las Vegas Aces 83:76 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington vs Las Vegas women's Pro Basketball game: Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Las Vegas Aces 83:76 Washington Mystics WNBA | LV -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | New England Patriots 13:13 Indianapolis Colts NFL | New England to win | Pending |
| 2026-08-14 | Minnesota Twins 1:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | PHI -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Toronto Blue Jays 0:7 Boston Red Sox MLB | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Toronto Blue Jays 0:7 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Toronto Blue Jays 0:7 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Las Vegas Aces 86:76 Washington Mystics WNBA | LV -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Washington Nationals 6:8 Chicago Cubs MLB | Over 14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Washington Nationals 6:8 Chicago Cubs MLB | CHC -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Indiana Fever 106:92 New York Liberty WNBA | IND +15.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Indiana Fever 106:92 New York Liberty WNBA | IND -17.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Miami Marlins 2:0 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | MIA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | TEX -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:5 Kansas City Royals MLB | LAD +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Athletics 6:10 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | TB -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Seattle Storm 97:88 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Seattle women's Pro Basketball game: Chicago wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Seattle Storm 97:88 Chicago Sky WNBA | SEA +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | St. Louis Cardinals 5:6 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | St. Louis Cardinals 5:6 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | PHI +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Atlanta Braves 5:8 New York Mets MLB | NYM -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Atlanta Braves 5:8 New York Mets MLB | NYM +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Toronto Blue Jays 2:1 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Libertad Loja 2:1 Uni Catolica Ecuador LigaPro | Libertad Loja vs Uni Catolica Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Libertad Loja 2:1 Uni Catolica Ecuador LigaPro | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7:2 Houston Astros MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7:2 Houston Astros MLB | SD +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7:2 Houston Astros MLB | HOU +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Los Angeles Sparks 78:84 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Los Angeles Sparks 78:84 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | GS -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Los Angeles Sparks 78:84 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State wins the 4th quarter | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Los Angeles Sparks 78:84 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State wins the 3rd quarter | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Los Angeles Sparks 78:84 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State wins the 2nd quarter | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Chicago WS 5:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | San Francisco Giants 1:3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Minnesota Lynx 103:90 Dallas Wings WNBA | MIN -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Minnesota Lynx 103:90 Dallas Wings WNBA | Under 188.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Philadelphia Phillies 7:6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Philadelphia Phillies 7:6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Under 12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Boston Red Sox 3:4 Athletics MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | New York Yankees 1:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Philadelphia Phillies 7:6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | PHI +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | New York Liberty 111:71 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | NY +30.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 2:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 2:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | TB +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | LAD +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Philadelphia Phillies 5:7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | PHI -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Boston Red Sox 3:7 Athletics MLB | ATH -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Chicago Sky 86:90 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Chicago women's Pro Basketball game: Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Chicago Sky 86:90 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Chicago women's Pro Basketball game: Chicago wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Won |