Kalshi · Football
peak.mouse is a Nations League pro on Kalshi: 36 picks, 75.0% win rate, $369 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 38 won, 22 lost, 63.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nations League | 13 | 13 | 9 | 69.2% |
| La Liga | 6 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| Intl Friendlies | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| NBA | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| NCAAF | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| Liga Portugal | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
peak.mouse mainly predicts Nations League: 13 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 75.0% hit rate over 36 orders, P&L $369, ROI 32.5%. In Nations League, 9 of 13 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-11 19:52 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Santander 2:2 Valencia La Liga | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | New York Jets 17:12 Cleveland Browns NFL | New York J wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 2:0 Guimaraes Liga Portugal | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 2:0 Guimaraes Liga Portugal | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | US Sassuolo Calcio 1:1 AC Milan Serie A | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | AS Monaco FC 2:2 Toulouse FC Ligue 1 | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | SSC Napoli (Napoli) 3:0 Frosinone Calcio Serie A | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Chicago Fire FC 2:1 New York City FC MLS | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 1:1 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) Premier League | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Inter Milan (Inter) 3:0 Parma Calcio 1913 Serie A | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 1:1 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) Premier League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) 1:2 Atletico La Liga | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Club de Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata (Gimnasia La Plata) 1:1 Atlético Tucumán (Atletico Tucuman) Argentina Primera Division | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Montevideo City Torque (Montevideo City) 1:0 Danubio F.C. (Danubio FC) Uruguay Primera Division | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | S.C. Braga (SC Braga) 1:3 Sporting CP Liga Portugal | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1:1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) La Liga | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Al Nassr Club 3:0 Al-Diriyah Club (Diriyah Club) Saudi Pro League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | R.C. Lens (Lens) 2:1 Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) Ligue 1 | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 2:2 Bremen Bundesliga | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Oaxaca 2:1 Correcaminos UAT (Correcaminos) Liga de Expansion MX | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | New York Knicks 109:111 Washington Wizards NBA | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Cleveland Cavaliers 113:124 Boston Celtics NBA | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Utah Jazz (Jazz) 106:117 Denver Nuggets NBA | Utah wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 2:0 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Charlotte Hornets 90:124 Brooklyn Nets NBA | Brooklyn wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Saint-Martin 6:0 Bahamas men's national basketball team (Bahamas) CONCACAF Nations League | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Angola men's national basketball team (Angola) 3:1 Malawi men's national football team (Malawi) AFCON | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Albania men's national football team (Albania) 2:1 San Marino men's national football team (San Marino) Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Albania men's national football team (Albania) 2:1 San Marino men's national football team (San Marino) Nations League | ALB +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Albania men's national football team (Albania) 2:1 San Marino men's national football team (San Marino) Nations League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Estonia men's national football team (Estonia) 0:0 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) Nations League | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | England men's national association football team (England) 3:0 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) Nations League | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 2:1 Niger men's national football team (Niger) Intl Friendlies | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Russia men's national football team (Russia) 3:3 Nigeria men's national basketball team (Nigeria) Intl Friendlies | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | France 4:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Romania men's national association football team (Romania) 0:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) Nations League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | France 4:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Rwanda men's national basketball team (Rwanda) 0:0 Kenya men's national football team (Kenya) Intl Friendlies | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) Nations League | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Los Angeles Clippers 104:101 Golden State Warriors NBA | Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Raiders 27:30 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Atlanta Dream 92:82 New York Liberty WNBA | Atlanta wins the 1st half | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 1:1 Mali men's national basketball team (Mali) Intl Friendlies | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | UD Las Palmas 2:2 Real Valladolid (Valladolid) La Liga 2 | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Malta men's national football team (Malta) 1:0 Andorra Nations League | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Malta men's national football team (Malta) 1:0 Andorra Nations League | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | TCU Horned Frogs 10:17 BYU Cougars NCAAF | BYU wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) Nations League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Houston 27:17 UCF Knights NCAAF | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Mississippi State Bulldogs 23:56 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | Alabama wins the 3rd quarter | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Mississippi State Bulldogs 23:56 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | Alabama wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Saint Kitts and Nevis 3:3 Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) CONCACAF Nations League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Helmond 2:2 Heracles Almelo Eerste Divisie | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Saint Lucia 3:0 Guadeloupe CONCACAF Nations League | Under 3.5 | Won |