Kalshi · Baseball
noahfrmdar is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 15 picks, 66.7% win rate, $300 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 34 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 34 have settled: 21 won, 13 lost, 61.8% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 19 | 19 | 12 | 63.2% |
| NFL | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| NCAAF | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Champions League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
noahfrmdar mainly predicts MLB: 19 of the last 34 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 15 orders, P&L $300, ROI 42.5%. In MLB, 12 of 19 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-24 20:42 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WLWLL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Texas Longhorns 34:27 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Cleveland Browns 13:10 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Cleveland Browns 13:10 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Derrick Henry: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | NC St. 14:38 Wake Forest Demon Deacons NCAAF | NC St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | San Diego Padres 1:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 San Diego Padres MLB | MIL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | LAD -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Jaylen Warren: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Atlanta Braves 5:3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Washington 1:7 New York Mets MLB | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Kansas City 9:12 Cleveland MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Los Angeles R win the 4th Quarter | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Baltimore 4:3 Toronto MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | San Diego Padres 3:2 Washington Nationals MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Los Angeles Angels 3:5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati Reds 1:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | St. Louis Cardinals 2:0 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 2:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 12:11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 12:11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | New York Yankees 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 3:12 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111:115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) 103:111 San Antonio NBA | First Half Winner | Lost |