Kalshi · Baseball
mmelgar08 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 19 picks, 89.5% win rate, $465 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 42 won, 18 lost, 70.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 13 | 13 | 10 | 76.9% |
| La Liga | 11 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Ligue 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Liga MX | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
mmelgar08 mainly predicts MLB: 13 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 89.5% hit rate over 19 orders, P&L $465, ROI 32.6%. In MLB, 10 of 13 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-28 03:07 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Tampa Bay Rays 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | AS Roma 4:2 Cagliari Calcio Serie A | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | AS Roma 4:2 Cagliari Calcio Serie A | Roma wins | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Independ. Santa Fe 2:1 Bucaramanga Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Sevilla FC 2:0 Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) La Liga | Sevilla wins | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 2:0 Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) Ligue 1 | PSG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Tolima 0:1 Pasto Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Pasto wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Levante UD 3:3 Sevilla FC La Liga | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Levante UD 3:3 Sevilla FC La Liga | Sevilla wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Oviedo 3:1 SD Eibar (Eibar) La Liga 2 | Oviedo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Pumas UNAM 3:3 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:4 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) Intl Friendlies | Brazil wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Athletics 2:13 Houston MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | San Francisco 3:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Como Women 4:1 Milan W Serie A Femminile | Como 1907 wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Granada CF 2:3 Andorra La Liga 2 | Andorra wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) 0:0 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Athletics 6:5 Houston MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Athletics 6:5 Houston MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) 2:3 Suriname CONCACAF Nations League | Suriname wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) 3:2 Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) 3:2 Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) CONCACAF Nations League | Jamaica wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | New York Yankees 10:2 Baltimore MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Philadelphia 0:2 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Club Nacional Asunción 1:1 Sportivo Ameliano APF Division de Honor | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Club Nacional Asunción 1:1 Sportivo Ameliano APF Division de Honor | Nacional wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Grenada 0:3 Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) CONCACAF Nations League | Cuba wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | New York Yankees Baltimore MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Real Madrid CF Femenino 1:1 PSG W Women's Champions League | Real Madrid wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 2:3 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Liga MX | Toluca wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Inter Miami CF 2:2 San Diego FC MLS | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Londrina E.C. (Londrina) 1:2 Fortaleza E.C. (Fortaleza) Brasileiro Serie B | Fortaleza wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Los Angeles Chargers 14:26 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Olympique de Marseille (Marseille) 1:2 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Ligue 1 | PSG wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Villarreal CF 3:1 Levante UD La Liga | Villarreal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) 1:2 Club Atlético Huracán (Huracan) Argentina Primera Division | Huracan wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Cerro Porteño (Cerro Porteno) 1:0 Club Rubio Ñu (Rubio Nu) APF Division de Honor | Cerro Porteno wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) 1:2 Club Atlético Huracán (Huracan) Argentina Primera Division | River Plate wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Orlando Pride 1:4 Portland Thorns FC NWSL | Portland Thorns wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1:3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) 1:1 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Liga MX | Atlante wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Vila Nova Futebol Clube (Vila Nova FC) 1:0 America FC Brasileiro Serie B | Vila Nova wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Instituto Atlético Central Córdoba (Central Cordoba) 2:2 Defensa y Justicia Argentina Primera Division | Defensa y Justicia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Sports Association Club Alianza Atlético de Sullana (Alianza Atletico) 2:1 Comerciantes U. Peru Liga 1 | Alianza Atletico wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | AS Monaco FC 2:1 R.C. Lens (Lens) Ligue 1 | Monaco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:3 Elche CF La Liga | Elche wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Manchester City WFC 4:2 Liverpool W English Women's Super League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:3 Elche CF La Liga | Espanyol wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Atletico 2:1 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Los Angeles Angels 5:4 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Los Angeles Angels 5:4 Minnesota MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Montevideo City Torque (Montevideo City) 3:0 Cienciano CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Montevideo City To Advance | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Bucaramanga 2:2 Ind. Medellin Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | New York Mets 0:3 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Houston 6:2 Kansas City MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1:3 Villarreal CF La Liga | Villarreal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1:3 Villarreal CF La Liga | Malaga wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Colorado 2:9 San Diego MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 1:0 Getafe CF La Liga | Real Betis wins | Won |