Kalshi · Football
michael.alvarez is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 32 picks, 65.6% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 29 won, 31 lost, 48.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% |
| Liga MX | 8 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% |
| NBA | 6 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| MLS | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| La Liga | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Intl Friendlies | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
michael.alvarez mainly predicts NFL: 11 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.6% hit rate over 32 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 20.2%. In NFL, 5 of 11 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-30 04:46 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WLWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Brunei DPMM 3:1 Negeri Sembilan Malaysia Super League | Brunei DPMM wins | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Atlanta Hawks 114:111 Cleveland Cavaliers NBA | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-30 | Green Bay Packers 27:19 Carolina Panthers NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | América de Cali (America Cali) 2:1 Fortaleza Fútbol Club (Fortaleza CEIF) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | America Cali wins | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | America 1:1 Club Tijuana Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Seattle 0:1 Houston MLS | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | America 1:1 Club Tijuana Liga MX | Tijuana wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | America 1:1 Club Tijuana Liga MX | America wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | New England 3:2 Red Bull New York (New York RB) MLS | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) 2:1 S.C. Internacional (SC Internacional) Brasileiro Serie A | Fluminense wins | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Nashville SC 0:0 Philadelphia MLS | Nashville wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 1:1 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) EFL Cup | Chelsea To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) 0:2 Inter Milan (Inter) Serie A | Inter wins | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Los Angeles Lakers 129:136 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | Los Angeles L wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Tampa Bay Rays 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Inter Milano U23 2:1 S.S. Scafatese Calcio 1922 (SS Scafatese Calcio) Serie C | Inter Milano U23 wins | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) 3:2 Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) Brasileiro Serie A | Atletico Mineiro wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Neftchi 1:2 Al Ittihad AFC Champions League | Al-Ittihad wins | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Cleveland Cavaliers 127:125 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Club Tijuana 4:1 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Liga MX | Santos Laguna wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Sacramento Kings 112:123 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Memphis wins | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Tolima 0:1 Pasto Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Pasto wins | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Los Angeles FC 2:2 LA Galaxy MLS | Los Angeles F wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | America 1:2 CF Pachuca Liga MX | America wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Seattle Seahawks 20:3 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Kansas City wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Philadelphia 76ers 93:106 Detroit Pistons NBA | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 4:3 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Atlas wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | SC Freiburg 1:3 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Bundesliga | Bayern Munich wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Frontale 2:1 Fagiano Okayama Japan J1 League | Frontale wins | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | New England wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | SK Sturm Graz (Sturm Graz) 1:0 Olympique de Marseille (Marseille) Europa League | Marseille wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | FC Barcelona 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Memphis Grizzlies 123:103 Utah Jazz (Jazz) NBA | Utah wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Levante UD 3:1 Bilbao La Liga | Bilbao wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 2:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Bayern Munich wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Como 1907 4:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Champions League | Como wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Montedio 0:2 Sapporo Japan J2 League | Sapporo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Real Madrid 4:1 Sevilla FC La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Leon 3:5 America Liga MX | America wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles Chargers 17:23 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | New Orleans Saints 13:23 Minnesota Vikings NFL | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Como 1907 0:0 AS Roma Serie A | Como wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:3 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Liverpool wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 3:2 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Tigres wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | San Jose St. 13:16 Wyoming Cowboys NCAAF | San Jose St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | New England Patriots 45:17 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Croatia women's national football team (Croatia W) 0:4 Iceland women's national football team (Iceland W) FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women | Croatia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | PHI Eagles 20:24 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 2:0 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 2:1 Albania men's national football team (Albania) Nations League | Albania wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) Intl Friendlies | Colombia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 0:0 Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Won |