Kalshi · Baseball
lil.martini is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 16 picks, 81.3% win rate, $374 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 27 won, 33 lost, 45.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 20 | 20 | 15 | 75.0% |
| NFL | 13 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% |
| FIFA World Cup | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| NCAAF | 6 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Chile Liga de Primera | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| La Liga | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
lil.martini mainly predicts MLB: 20 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 81.3% hit rate over 16 orders, P&L $374, ROI 52.2%. In MLB, 15 of 20 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-24 02:16 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Miami Heat (Heat) 111:128 Detroit Pistons NBA | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 3:1 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | Coventry wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Benin men's national football team (Benin) Intl Friendlies | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | San Francisco 49ers 24:14 DEN Broncos NFL | Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | France 1:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | France wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:1 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees 9:0 Boston Red Sox MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Saquon Barkley: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Club Necaxa 2:4 America Liga MX | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Jacksonville Jaguars 35:6 New England Patriots NFL | Parker Washington: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | San Francisco 3:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Toronto 1:5 Cincinnati MLB | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Toronto 1:5 Cincinnati MLB | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 27:10 Michigan State Spartans NCAAF | Michigan St. to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 7:4 Milwaukee MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Athletics 6:5 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Athletics 6:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | Florida St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Kansas City Royals 4:5 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:0 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Houston Astros 2:3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Texas 8:6 Tampa Bay MLB | Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Cleveland Guardians 3:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Philadelphia Phillies 4:5 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Michigan Wolverines 13:12 Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF | Western Michigan wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Howard Bison 31:24 Alabama A&M Bulldogs NCAAF | Alabama A&M wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Florida State Seminoles 34:17 New Mexico State Aggies NCAAF | New Mexico St. to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Green Bay 42:38 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Arizona vs Green Bay Pro Football game: Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Detroit Tigers 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Coquimbo 1:2 Club Deportivo Universidad Católica (CD Universidad Católica) Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad Catolica | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Coquimbo 1:2 Club Deportivo Universidad Católica (CD Universidad Católica) Chile Liga de Primera | Tie | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Coquimbo 1:2 Club Deportivo Universidad Católica (CD Universidad Católica) Chile Liga de Primera | Coquimbo | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Los Angeles Angels 6:8 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | San Diego Padres 0:1 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | New York Yankees 7:9 Houston Astros MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Atlanta Braves 4:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Juventude RS 2:1 Clube de Regatas Brasil (CR Brasil) Brasileiro Serie B | Juventude RS vs CR Brasil Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Valencia 0:1 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | Valencia vs Real Betis Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Racing Club (Racing Avellaneda) 1:1 Boca Juniors Argentina Primera Division | Racing Avellaneda vs Boca Juniors Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Elche CF 0:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Elche vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Elche CF 0:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Elche vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1:4 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | New York Mets 5:4 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Atlanta Falcons 7:27 Denver Broncos NFL | DEN -20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Enner Valencia: First Goalscorer | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2:1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5:1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | Sweden vs Tunisia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Lost |