Kalshi · Baseball
jcmg is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 23 picks, 65.2% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 35 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 35 have settled: 17 won, 18 lost, 48.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 24 | 24 | 15 | 62.5% |
| FIFA World Cup | 7 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| Premier League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Brasileiro Serie C | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Allsvenskan | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
jcmg mainly predicts MLB: 24 of the last 35 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.2% hit rate over 23 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 39.1%. In MLB, 15 of 24 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-01 00:44 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Boston Red Sox 9:8 Seattle Mariners MLB | SEA -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Cincinnati Reds 0:5 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Cincinnati Reds 0:5 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Atlanta Braves 3:7 San Francisco Giants MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Aston Villa vs Arsenal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Paysandu Sport Club (Paysandu) 2:1 Associação Desportiva Confiança (Confianca) Brasileiro Serie C | Paysandu vs Confianca Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | St. Louis Cardinals 5:6 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | PHI -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | St. Louis Cardinals 5:6 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs St. Louis First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Minnesota Twins 9:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Minnesota First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Toronto Blue Jays 2:1 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Toronto First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:9 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Boston Red Sox 14:2 Chicago WS MLB | BOS -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | AZ -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | AZ -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Cleveland Guardians 8:12 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Seattle Mariners 4:3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:0 Texas Rangers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Minnesota Twins 3:2 Kansas City Royals MLB | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Cincinnati Reds 2:0 Cleveland Guardians MLB | CIN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Los Angeles Angels 4:6 Houston Astros MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Athletics 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Pittsburgh Pirates 3:2 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | New York Mets 8:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Kansas City Royals 5:4 San Francisco Giants MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Kalmar 2:2 Malmö FF (Malmo) Allsvenskan | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | America FC 1:1 Londrina E.C. (Londrina) Brasileiro Serie B | America FC vs Londrina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Washington Nationals 3:5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: First Goalscorer | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Lamine Yamal scores first in entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) and Spain advances | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Egypt win the 2nd Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Egypt win the 1st Half | Won |